Trader consensus prices a 65.5% implied probability that SCOTUS will rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, where the company argues the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims absent an EPA-required label change for Roundup. The U.S. Solicitor General filed a supportive amicus brief on March 2, 2026, alongside agricultural associations, the Chamber of Commerce, and states like Nebraska warning of litigation risks to food production. Respondent Durnell's March 25 brief and counter-amici from public health groups and Senator Cory Booker on April 1 highlight opposition, but the 6-3 conservative majority's preemption precedents tilt odds toward Monsanto ahead of April 27 oral arguments, with a decision due by late June.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?
SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?
신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 65.5% implied probability that SCOTUS will rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, where the company argues the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims absent an EPA-required label change for Roundup. The U.S. Solicitor General filed a supportive amicus brief on March 2, 2026, alongside agricultural associations, the Chamber of Commerce, and states like Nebraska warning of litigation risks to food production. Respondent Durnell's March 25 brief and counter-amici from public health groups and Senator Cory Booker on April 1 highlight opposition, but the 6-3 conservative majority's preemption precedents tilt odds toward Monsanto ahead of April 27 oral arguments, with a decision due by late June.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 65.5% implied probability that SCOTUS will rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, where the company argues the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims absent an EPA-required label change for Roundup. The U.S. Solicitor General filed a supportive amicus brief on March 2, 2026, alongside agricultural associations, the Chamber of Commerce, and states like Nebraska warning of litigation risks to food production. Respondent Durnell's March 25 brief and counter-amici from public health groups and Senator Cory Booker on April 1 highlight opposition, but the 6-3 conservative majority's preemption precedents tilt odds toward Monsanto ahead of April 27 oral arguments, with a decision due by late June.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 65.5% implied probability that SCOTUS will rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, where the company argues the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims absent an EPA-required label change for Roundup. The U.S. Solicitor General filed a supportive amicus brief on March 2, 2026, alongside agricultural associations, the Chamber of Commerce, and states like Nebraska warning of litigation risks to food production. Respondent Durnell's March 25 brief and counter-amici from public health groups and Senator Cory Booker on April 1 highlight opposition, but the 6-3 conservative majority's preemption precedents tilt odds toward Monsanto ahead of April 27 oral arguments, with a decision due by late June.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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