The Third Circuit's April 6 ruling affirming a preliminary injunction for Kalshi marked a pivotal escalation in litigation over sports event contracts, holding that the Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction as swaps on designated contract markets, preempting state gambling laws like New Jersey's. This decision deepens an existing circuit split with conflicting district court rulings in Ohio and Tennessee favoring states, heightening the odds of Supreme Court certiorari to resolve federal preemption. Over 20 related lawsuits proliferate amid CFTC support under new leadership and bipartisan congressional bills targeting prediction markets. Traders eye petitions from aggrieved states within 90 days, with SCOTUS conferences potentially granting review by summer 2026; resolution hinges on official docket confirmation of certiorari in a qualifying case.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$936,129 거래량
2026.07.31
7월 31일
14%
12월 31일
31%
$936,129 거래량
7월 31일
$929,259 거래량
14%
12월 31일
$6,870 거래량
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. The Third Circuit's April 6 ruling affirming a preliminary injunction for Kalshi marked a pivotal escalation in litigation over sports event contracts, holding that the Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction as swaps on designated contract markets, preempting state gambling laws like New Jersey's. This decision deepens an existing circuit split with conflicting district court rulings in Ohio and Tennessee favoring states, heightening the odds of Supreme Court certiorari to resolve federal preemption. Over 20 related lawsuits proliferate amid CFTC support under new leadership and bipartisan congressional bills targeting prediction markets. Traders eye petitions from aggrieved states within 90 days, with SCOTUS conferences potentially granting review by summer 2026; resolution hinges on official docket confirmation of certiorari in a qualifying case.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jul 16, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
거래량
$936,129종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 16, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. The Third Circuit's April 6 ruling affirming a preliminary injunction for Kalshi marked a pivotal escalation in litigation over sports event contracts, holding that the Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction as swaps on designated contract markets, preempting state gambling laws like New Jersey's. This decision deepens an existing circuit split with conflicting district court rulings in Ohio and Tennessee favoring states, heightening the odds of Supreme Court certiorari to resolve federal preemption. Over 20 related lawsuits proliferate amid CFTC support under new leadership and bipartisan congressional bills targeting prediction markets. Traders eye petitions from aggrieved states within 90 days, with SCOTUS conferences potentially granting review by summer 2026; resolution hinges on official docket confirmation of certiorari in a qualifying case.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
거래량
$936,129종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 16, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...The Third Circuit's April 6 ruling affirming a preliminary injunction for Kalshi marked a pivotal escalation in litigation over sports event contracts, holding that the Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction as swaps on designated contract markets, preempting state gambling laws like New Jersey's. This decision deepens an existing circuit split with conflicting district court rulings in Ohio and Tennessee favoring states, heightening the odds of Supreme Court certiorari to resolve federal preemption. Over 20 related lawsuits proliferate amid CFTC support under new leadership and bipartisan congressional bills targeting prediction markets. Traders eye petitions from aggrieved states within 90 days, with SCOTUS conferences potentially granting review by summer 2026; resolution hinges on official docket confirmation of certiorari in a qualifying case.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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