Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government, reliant on support from Sumar and regional parties including Catalan separatists, has maintained stability without triggering a dissolution of parliament or no-confidence vote, bolstering trader consensus against a snap election in 2026. Sánchez explicitly ruled out early elections as recently as February 2026, committing to the full term ending with general elections by August 2027, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and legislative approvals like the "Spain Grows" fund. Recent polls from early April show PSOE support rising to 27.7% on an anti-war stance, offsetting prior regional defeats, while opposition calls from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo for an early vote lack procedural momentum. Absent a budget failure or major scandal escalation, markets price low odds of advancement before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$15,001 거래량
$15,001 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$15,001 거래량
$15,001 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government, reliant on support from Sumar and regional parties including Catalan separatists, has maintained stability without triggering a dissolution of parliament or no-confidence vote, bolstering trader consensus against a snap election in 2026. Sánchez explicitly ruled out early elections as recently as February 2026, committing to the full term ending with general elections by August 2027, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and legislative approvals like the "Spain Grows" fund. Recent polls from early April show PSOE support rising to 27.7% on an anti-war stance, offsetting prior regional defeats, while opposition calls from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo for an early vote lack procedural momentum. Absent a budget failure or major scandal escalation, markets price low odds of advancement before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
거래량
$15,001종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government, reliant on support from Sumar and regional parties including Catalan separatists, has maintained stability without triggering a dissolution of parliament or no-confidence vote, bolstering trader consensus against a snap election in 2026. Sánchez explicitly ruled out early elections as recently as February 2026, committing to the full term ending with general elections by August 2027, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and legislative approvals like the "Spain Grows" fund. Recent polls from early April show PSOE support rising to 27.7% on an anti-war stance, offsetting prior regional defeats, while opposition calls from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo for an early vote lack procedural momentum. Absent a budget failure or major scandal escalation, markets price low odds of advancement before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$15,001종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government, reliant on support from Sumar and regional parties including Catalan separatists, has maintained stability without triggering a dissolution of parliament or no-confidence vote, bolstering trader consensus against a snap election in 2026. Sánchez explicitly ruled out early elections as recently as February 2026, committing to the full term ending with general elections by August 2027, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and legislative approvals like the "Spain Grows" fund. Recent polls from early April show PSOE support rising to 27.7% on an anti-war stance, offsetting prior regional defeats, while opposition calls from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo for an early vote lack procedural momentum. Absent a budget failure or major scandal escalation, markets price low odds of advancement before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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