Strong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies beating estimates by wide margins in Q1 2026 and aggregate growth expectations climbing toward 24-25% for the full year, remains the dominant driver of index levels near 7,519 as of late May. Analysts have lifted year-end 2026 targets to a median of 7,620, with Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on the back of robust profit margins near record highs and AI-related revenue strength. Persistent inflation pressures, including April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year fueled by energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, with markets assigning over 95% odds of no rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The resilient labor market, featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, supports the current pricing while highlighting risks if geopolitical or inflation developments intensify.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$124,279 거래량
2026.12.31
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
23%
↑ 8,200달러
39%
↑ 7,800달러
74%
↑ $7,600
93%
↓ $6,200
32%
↓ $5,800
27%
↓ $5,200
16%
↓ $4,500
9%
$124,279 거래량
↑ $9,300
$3,195 거래량
6%
↑ $8,600
$11,383 거래량
23%
↑ 8,200달러
$4,321 거래량
39%
↑ 7,800달러
$2,728 거래량
74%
↑ $7,600
$11,992 거래량
93%
↓ $6,200
$20,806 거래량
32%
↓ $5,800
$19,287 거래량
27%
↓ $5,200
$15,339 거래량
16%
↓ $4,500
$17,718 거래량
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies beating estimates by wide margins in Q1 2026 and aggregate growth expectations climbing toward 24-25% for the full year, remains the dominant driver of index levels near 7,519 as of late May. Analysts have lifted year-end 2026 targets to a median of 7,620, with Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on the back of robust profit margins near record highs and AI-related revenue strength. Persistent inflation pressures, including April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year fueled by energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, with markets assigning over 95% odds of no rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The resilient labor market, featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, supports the current pricing while highlighting risks if geopolitical or inflation developments intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
거래량
$124,279종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies beating estimates by wide margins in Q1 2026 and aggregate growth expectations climbing toward 24-25% for the full year, remains the dominant driver of index levels near 7,519 as of late May. Analysts have lifted year-end 2026 targets to a median of 7,620, with Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on the back of robust profit margins near record highs and AI-related revenue strength. Persistent inflation pressures, including April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year fueled by energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, with markets assigning over 95% odds of no rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The resilient labor market, featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, supports the current pricing while highlighting risks if geopolitical or inflation developments intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
거래량
$124,279종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETStrong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies beating estimates by wide margins in Q1 2026 and aggregate growth expectations climbing toward 24-25% for the full year, remains the dominant driver of index levels near 7,519 as of late May. Analysts have lifted year-end 2026 targets to a median of 7,620, with Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on the back of robust profit margins near record highs and AI-related revenue strength. Persistent inflation pressures, including April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year fueled by energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold, with markets assigning over 95% odds of no rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The resilient labor market, featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, supports the current pricing while highlighting risks if geopolitical or inflation developments intensify.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문