Nate Bargatze’s family comedy The Breadwinner opened in wide release on May 29, with trader consensus heavily favoring an opening weekend above $7 million at 62.5% implied probability. Recent tracking adjustments from industry analysts have pulled estimates down into the $7–14 million range after softer-than-expected presales and marketing that leaned too heavily on social media buzz without converting into stronger advance ticket demand. The film’s middle-American and family audience appeal, plus Bargatze’s established crossover draw, continue to support the leading outcome, though competition and historical struggles for traditional comedies keep the 6–7 million bracket a close second at 36.2%. Final numbers will clarify the impact of any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m 65%
6-7m 34.7%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$137,383 거래량
$137,383 거래량
2026.06.01
<4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6-7m
35%
>7m
65%
>7m 65%
6-7m 34.7%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$137,383 거래량
$137,383 거래량
2026.06.01
<4m
$5,277 거래량
<1%
4-5m
$22,387 거래량
<1%
5-6m
$8,968 거래량
<1%
6-7m
$14,185 거래량
35%
>7m
$86,670 거래량
65%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Nate Bargatze’s family comedy The Breadwinner opened in wide release on May 29, with trader consensus heavily favoring an opening weekend above $7 million at 62.5% implied probability. Recent tracking adjustments from industry analysts have pulled estimates down into the $7–14 million range after softer-than-expected presales and marketing that leaned too heavily on social media buzz without converting into stronger advance ticket demand. The film’s middle-American and family audience appeal, plus Bargatze’s established crossover draw, continue to support the leading outcome, though competition and historical struggles for traditional comedies keep the 6–7 million bracket a close second at 36.2%. Final numbers will clarify the impact of any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$137,383종료일
2026.06.01마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Nate Bargatze’s family comedy The Breadwinner opened in wide release on May 29, with trader consensus heavily favoring an opening weekend above $7 million at 62.5% implied probability. Recent tracking adjustments from industry analysts have pulled estimates down into the $7–14 million range after softer-than-expected presales and marketing that leaned too heavily on social media buzz without converting into stronger advance ticket demand. The film’s middle-American and family audience appeal, plus Bargatze’s established crossover draw, continue to support the leading outcome, though competition and historical struggles for traditional comedies keep the 6–7 million bracket a close second at 36.2%. Final numbers will clarify the impact of any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$137,383종료일
2026.06.01마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nate Bargatze’s family comedy The Breadwinner opened in wide release on May 29, with trader consensus heavily favoring an opening weekend above $7 million at 62.5% implied probability. Recent tracking adjustments from industry analysts have pulled estimates down into the $7–14 million range after softer-than-expected presales and marketing that leaned too heavily on social media buzz without converting into stronger advance ticket demand. The film’s middle-American and family audience appeal, plus Bargatze’s established crossover draw, continue to support the leading outcome, though competition and historical struggles for traditional comedies keep the 6–7 million bracket a close second at 36.2%. Final numbers will clarify the impact of any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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