Recent Q2 2026 deliveries of 480,126 vehicles, well above consensus estimates near 406,000, provided a short-term positive catalyst for Tesla shares, yet the stock fell nearly 7.5% to close at $393.45 on July 2 amid concerns over margins, elevated valuations, and execution risks in AI and robotics initiatives. With the July 10 week close market showing tightly clustered implied probabilities across $370–$415+ buckets, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers including broader equity sentiment, potential follow-through from the deliveries beat, and positioning ahead of full Q2 earnings on July 22. This balanced pricing reflects uncertainty over whether delivery momentum or margin pressures will dominate price action in the coming sessions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$380-$385 47%
$395-$400 47%
$400-$405 47%
$405-$410 47%
신규
신규
2026.07.10
<$370
47%
$370-$375
46%
$375-$380
47%
$380-$385
47%
$385-$390
47%
$390-$395
47%
$395-$400
47%
$400-$405
47%
$405-$410
47%
$410-$415
47%
>$415
47%
$380-$385 47%
$395-$400 47%
$400-$405 47%
$405-$410 47%
신규
신규
2026.07.10
<$370
$0 거래량
47%
$370-$375
$0 거래량
46%
$375-$380
$0 거래량
47%
$380-$385
$0 거래량
47%
$385-$390
$0 거래량
47%
$390-$395
$0 거래량
47%
$395-$400
$0 거래량
47%
$400-$405
$0 거래량
47%
$405-$410
$0 거래량
47%
$410-$415
$0 거래량
47%
>$415
$0 거래량
47%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent Q2 2026 deliveries of 480,126 vehicles, well above consensus estimates near 406,000, provided a short-term positive catalyst for Tesla shares, yet the stock fell nearly 7.5% to close at $393.45 on July 2 amid concerns over margins, elevated valuations, and execution risks in AI and robotics initiatives. With the July 10 week close market showing tightly clustered implied probabilities across $370–$415+ buckets, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers including broader equity sentiment, potential follow-through from the deliveries beat, and positioning ahead of full Q2 earnings on July 22. This balanced pricing reflects uncertainty over whether delivery momentum or margin pressures will dominate price action in the coming sessions.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Jul 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.10마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent Q2 2026 deliveries of 480,126 vehicles, well above consensus estimates near 406,000, provided a short-term positive catalyst for Tesla shares, yet the stock fell nearly 7.5% to close at $393.45 on July 2 amid concerns over margins, elevated valuations, and execution risks in AI and robotics initiatives. With the July 10 week close market showing tightly clustered implied probabilities across $370–$415+ buckets, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers including broader equity sentiment, potential follow-through from the deliveries beat, and positioning ahead of full Q2 earnings on July 22. This balanced pricing reflects uncertainty over whether delivery momentum or margin pressures will dominate price action in the coming sessions.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.10마켓 개설일
Jul 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ETRecent Q2 2026 deliveries of 480,126 vehicles, well above consensus estimates near 406,000, provided a short-term positive catalyst for Tesla shares, yet the stock fell nearly 7.5% to close at $393.45 on July 2 amid concerns over margins, elevated valuations, and execution risks in AI and robotics initiatives. With the July 10 week close market showing tightly clustered implied probabilities across $370–$415+ buckets, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers including broader equity sentiment, potential follow-through from the deliveries beat, and positioning ahead of full Q2 earnings on July 22. This balanced pricing reflects uncertainty over whether delivery momentum or margin pressures will dominate price action in the coming sessions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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