Tesla shares closed at $426.01 on May 22, 2026, leaving the week-of-May-25 settlement range wide open amid elevated volatility. Trader-implied odds—led by a 34% chance above $440 and 23% below $395—price in meaningful moves driven by updates on Cybercab and Optimus timelines, Q2 production signals, and broader risk sentiment. Positive developments in autonomy milestones or energy storage growth could lift the stock toward the upper buckets, while any delays, margin pressure, or macro headwinds would favor the lower tail. With no major earnings until July, the distribution underscores how near-term catalysts and market beta will determine whether the price consolidates in the middle ranges or breaks out.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트>$440 34%
<$395 23%
$395-$400 12%
$400-$405 12%
<$395
23%
$395-$400
12%
$400-$405
12%
$405-$410
9%
$410-$415
10%
$415-$420
10%
$420-$425
10%
$425-$430
10%
$430-$435
9%
$435-$440
9%
>$440
34%
>$440 34%
<$395 23%
$395-$400 12%
$400-$405 12%
<$395
23%
$395-$400
12%
$400-$405
12%
$405-$410
9%
$410-$415
10%
$415-$420
10%
$420-$425
10%
$425-$430
10%
$430-$435
9%
$435-$440
9%
>$440
34%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: May 22, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Tesla shares closed at $426.01 on May 22, 2026, leaving the week-of-May-25 settlement range wide open amid elevated volatility. Trader-implied odds—led by a 34% chance above $440 and 23% below $395—price in meaningful moves driven by updates on Cybercab and Optimus timelines, Q2 production signals, and broader risk sentiment. Positive developments in autonomy milestones or energy storage growth could lift the stock toward the upper buckets, while any delays, margin pressure, or macro headwinds would favor the lower tail. With no major earnings until July, the distribution underscores how near-term catalysts and market beta will determine whether the price consolidates in the middle ranges or breaks out.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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