The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid disputes over appropriations for immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP, has entered its 64th day with trader consensus implying an 79% chance of extending past April 30 due to persistent House-Senate impasse. House Republicans returned from recess on April 14 without advancing a Senate-passed funding measure lacking full ICE support, while a new GOP proposal to bypass Democrats faces procedural hurdles. April 16 budget hearings highlighted growing backlogs in contracts, cybersecurity, and disaster planning, underscoring urgency, yet no bipartisan continuing resolution appears imminent despite historical patterns of delayed shutdown resolutions in divided Congress. Executive orders have enabled partial pay and furlough recalls, sustaining minimal operations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 30일 이후 78.8%
4월 21-24일 6.4%
4월 25-28일 5.6%
4월 29-30일 5.6%
$952,452 거래량
$952,452 거래량
4월 17-20일
1%
4월 21-24일
6%
4월 25-28일
6%
4월 29-30일
6%
4월 30일 이후
79%
4월 30일 이후 78.8%
4월 21-24일 6.4%
4월 25-28일 5.6%
4월 29-30일 5.6%
$952,452 거래량
$952,452 거래량
4월 17-20일
1%
4월 21-24일
6%
4월 25-28일
6%
4월 29-30일
6%
4월 30일 이후
79%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid disputes over appropriations for immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP, has entered its 64th day with trader consensus implying an 79% chance of extending past April 30 due to persistent House-Senate impasse. House Republicans returned from recess on April 14 without advancing a Senate-passed funding measure lacking full ICE support, while a new GOP proposal to bypass Democrats faces procedural hurdles. April 16 budget hearings highlighted growing backlogs in contracts, cybersecurity, and disaster planning, underscoring urgency, yet no bipartisan continuing resolution appears imminent despite historical patterns of delayed shutdown resolutions in divided Congress. Executive orders have enabled partial pay and furlough recalls, sustaining minimal operations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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