A surge in diplomatic recognitions of the State of Palestine occurred in September 2025 during the UN General Assembly's 80th session, led by a France-Saudi Arabia summit on the two-state solution, with countries including France, the UK, Canada, Australia, Portugal, and others joining, elevating total UN member recognitions to 157 of 193. No further formal recognitions have occurred in the seven months since, amid ongoing Gaza conflict stalemates, conditional stances from holdouts like Italy and Japan, and firm opposition from the US and Germany. Trader consensus prices low probabilities (e.g., Germany at 5%, US at 10%) for additional recognitions before year-end 2026 resolution, reflecting entrenched alliance commitments to Israel and lack of momentum; the next UNGA in September could catalyze shifts if peace talks advance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$546,404 거래량
미국
10%
이탈리아
22%
네덜란드
18%
일본
16%
독일
5%
벨기에
22%
핀란드
7%
오스트리아
12%
그리스
11%
뉴질랜드
19%
$546,404 거래량
미국
10%
이탈리아
22%
네덜란드
18%
일본
16%
독일
5%
벨기에
22%
핀란드
7%
오스트리아
12%
그리스
11%
뉴질랜드
19%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A surge in diplomatic recognitions of the State of Palestine occurred in September 2025 during the UN General Assembly's 80th session, led by a France-Saudi Arabia summit on the two-state solution, with countries including France, the UK, Canada, Australia, Portugal, and others joining, elevating total UN member recognitions to 157 of 193. No further formal recognitions have occurred in the seven months since, amid ongoing Gaza conflict stalemates, conditional stances from holdouts like Italy and Japan, and firm opposition from the US and Germany. Trader consensus prices low probabilities (e.g., Germany at 5%, US at 10%) for additional recognitions before year-end 2026 resolution, reflecting entrenched alliance commitments to Israel and lack of momentum; the next UNGA in September could catalyze shifts if peace talks advance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문