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스포츠·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Market icon
스포츠·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ilia Topuria 63%

Arman Tsarukyan 18%

Justin Gaethje 12.0%

Benoît Saint Denis 3.3%

Polymarket

$19,462 거래량

Ilia Topuria 63%

Arman Tsarukyan 18%

Justin Gaethje 12.0%

Benoît Saint Denis 3.3%

Polymarket

$19,462 거래량

Ilia Topuria

$6,419 거래량

68%

Arman Tsarukyan

$1,732 거래량

18%

Charles Oliveira

$1,549 거래량

1%

Max Holloway

$1,139 거래량

1%

Justin Gaethje

$1,822 거래량

12%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,373 거래량

<1%

Dan Hooker

$728 거래량

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$687 거래량

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$1,333 거래량

9%

Rafael Fiziev

$766 거래량

<1%

Renato Moicano

$913 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through 2026, bolstered by his undefeated 17-0 record and dominant knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant belt at UFC 317 last June, showcasing elite striking power after vacating featherweight. Recent personal hiatus delayed his first defense, but his planned early spring or summer return against interim champion Justin Gaethje—fresh off a unanimous decision win over Paddy Pimblett in January—fuels confidence in Topuria's two-division dominance. Arman Tsarukyan (17%) gains from consistent wins like his November decision over Dan Hooker, positioning him as the top grappling contender, while Gaethje (12%) and Benoît Saint Denis (8.6%) reflect veteran power and momentum in a stacked division rife with stylistic matchups and injury risks.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
거래량
$19,462
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through 2026, bolstered by his undefeated 17-0 record and dominant knockout of Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant belt at UFC 317 last June, showcasing elite striking power after vacating featherweight. Recent personal hiatus delayed his first defense, but his planned early spring or summer return against interim champion Justin Gaethje—fresh off a unanimous decision win over Paddy Pimblett in January—fuels confidence in Topuria's two-division dominance. Arman Tsarukyan (17%) gains from consistent wins like his November decision over Dan Hooker, positioning him as the top grappling contender, while Gaethje (12%) and Benoît Saint Denis (8.6%) reflect veteran power and momentum in a stacked division rife with stylistic matchups and injury risks.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
거래량
$19,462
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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자주 묻는 질문

"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"은 11개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 68%의 "Ilia Topuria"이며, 이어서 18%의 "Arman Tsarukyan"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 68¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 68%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"은 총 $19.5K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jan 4, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 11개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"의 현재 유력 후보는 68%의 "Ilia Topuria"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 68%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 18%의 "Arman Tsarukyan"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.