Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.4% implied probability for "No" on a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, driven by Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Pro, Air, and Neo models—all equipped with Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth 6 but lacking built-in 5G or LTE modems. No official announcements, supply chain leaks, or FCC filings have emerged since, despite early-year rumors tying potential C2 modem integration to late-2026 MacBook Pro refreshes with OLED and touchscreens. Apple's historical caution with cellular laptops, citing battery and carrier hurdles, reinforces this positioning. WWDC (June 8–12) could surprise with a reveal, though rapid certification and manufacturing for a pre-July release remains improbable amid tight timelines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.4% implied probability for "No" on a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, driven by Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Pro, Air, and Neo models—all equipped with Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth 6 but lacking built-in 5G or LTE modems. No official announcements, supply chain leaks, or FCC filings have emerged since, despite early-year rumors tying potential C2 modem integration to late-2026 MacBook Pro refreshes with OLED and touchscreens. Apple's historical caution with cellular laptops, citing battery and carrier hurdles, reinforces this positioning. WWDC (June 8–12) could surprise with a reveal, though rapid certification and manufacturing for a pre-July release remains improbable amid tight timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
거래량
$5,870종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.4% implied probability for "No" on a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, driven by Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Pro, Air, and Neo models—all equipped with Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth 6 but lacking built-in 5G or LTE modems. No official announcements, supply chain leaks, or FCC filings have emerged since, despite early-year rumors tying potential C2 modem integration to late-2026 MacBook Pro refreshes with OLED and touchscreens. Apple's historical caution with cellular laptops, citing battery and carrier hurdles, reinforces this positioning. WWDC (June 8–12) could surprise with a reveal, though rapid certification and manufacturing for a pre-July release remains improbable amid tight timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$5,870종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.4% implied probability for "No" on a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, driven by Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Pro, Air, and Neo models—all equipped with Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth 6 but lacking built-in 5G or LTE modems. No official announcements, supply chain leaks, or FCC filings have emerged since, despite early-year rumors tying potential C2 modem integration to late-2026 MacBook Pro refreshes with OLED and touchscreens. Apple's historical caution with cellular laptops, citing battery and carrier hurdles, reinforces this positioning. WWDC (June 8–12) could surprise with a reveal, though rapid certification and manufacturing for a pre-July release remains improbable amid tight timelines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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