Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Waymo operating in 11 cities by June 30 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting the April 7 launch of fully autonomous robotaxi service in Nashville as its 11th market—joining Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, Orlando, Phoenix, San Antonio, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This rapid geographic expansion from 10 cities in late February underscores Waymo's scaling momentum, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and strong operational metrics like 150,000+ weekly paid rides. However, 12+ cities at 20.5% anticipates potential additions like Washington, D.C., or San Diego amid announced 2026 plans for 20+ markets, while lower odds for 6 cities (19.3%) or fewer hedge on regulatory hurdles or definitional disputes over "operate." Upcoming milestones, including highway testing rollouts and international pilots in London, could catalyze shifts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트11 47%
12개 이상 21%
6 18.8%
10 14%
$141,184 거래량
$141,184 거래량
2026.06.30
≤5
2%
6
19%
7
3%
8
4%
9
2%
10
14%
11
47%
12개 이상
21%
11 47%
12개 이상 21%
6 18.8%
10 14%
$141,184 거래량
$141,184 거래량
2026.06.30
≤5
$40,782 거래량
2%
6
$17,599 거래량
19%
7
$11,874 거래량
3%
8
$12,580 거래량
4%
9
$15,875 거래량
2%
10
$10,322 거래량
14%
11
$11,967 거래량
47%
12개 이상
$20,184 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Waymo operating in 11 cities by June 30 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting the April 7 launch of fully autonomous robotaxi service in Nashville as its 11th market—joining Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, Orlando, Phoenix, San Antonio, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This rapid geographic expansion from 10 cities in late February underscores Waymo's scaling momentum, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and strong operational metrics like 150,000+ weekly paid rides. However, 12+ cities at 20.5% anticipates potential additions like Washington, D.C., or San Diego amid announced 2026 plans for 20+ markets, while lower odds for 6 cities (19.3%) or fewer hedge on regulatory hurdles or definitional disputes over "operate." Upcoming milestones, including highway testing rollouts and international pilots in London, could catalyze shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
거래량
$141,184종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Waymo operating in 11 cities by June 30 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting the April 7 launch of fully autonomous robotaxi service in Nashville as its 11th market—joining Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, Orlando, Phoenix, San Antonio, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This rapid geographic expansion from 10 cities in late February underscores Waymo's scaling momentum, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and strong operational metrics like 150,000+ weekly paid rides. However, 12+ cities at 20.5% anticipates potential additions like Washington, D.C., or San Diego amid announced 2026 plans for 20+ markets, while lower odds for 6 cities (19.3%) or fewer hedge on regulatory hurdles or definitional disputes over "operate." Upcoming milestones, including highway testing rollouts and international pilots in London, could catalyze shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$141,184종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Waymo operating in 11 cities by June 30 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting the April 7 launch of fully autonomous robotaxi service in Nashville as its 11th market—joining Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, Orlando, Phoenix, San Antonio, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This rapid geographic expansion from 10 cities in late February underscores Waymo's scaling momentum, fueled by a $16 billion funding round and strong operational metrics like 150,000+ weekly paid rides. However, 12+ cities at 20.5% anticipates potential additions like Washington, D.C., or San Diego amid announced 2026 plans for 20+ markets, while lower odds for 6 cities (19.3%) or fewer hedge on regulatory hurdles or definitional disputes over "operate." Upcoming milestones, including highway testing rollouts and international pilots in London, could catalyze shifts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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