Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language model series drives trader consensus toward a near-term Kimi K3 release, following the January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model excelling in multimodal vision, agentic tasks, and coding benchmarks—and the recent April rollout of K2.6-code-preview, which early tests suggest rivals Anthropic's Opus 4.6. Website metadata spotting "Kimi K3" and a $500 million Series C funding round explicitly earmarked for K3 development signal active progress amid intense Chinese AI competition from DeepSeek V4 and GLM-5.1. No official public release date has been announced, with resolution hinging on general availability without vetting; traders eye May-June catalysts like developer previews or GTC follow-ups, though historical polish delays temper April expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.06.30
April 30
12%
June 30
63%
$5,291 거래량
April 30
$3,858 거래량
12%
June 30
$1,433 거래량
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language model series drives trader consensus toward a near-term Kimi K3 release, following the January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model excelling in multimodal vision, agentic tasks, and coding benchmarks—and the recent April rollout of K2.6-code-preview, which early tests suggest rivals Anthropic's Opus 4.6. Website metadata spotting "Kimi K3" and a $500 million Series C funding round explicitly earmarked for K3 development signal active progress amid intense Chinese AI competition from DeepSeek V4 and GLM-5.1. No official public release date has been announced, with resolution hinging on general availability without vetting; traders eye May-June catalysts like developer previews or GTC follow-ups, though historical polish delays temper April expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
거래량
$5,291종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language model series drives trader consensus toward a near-term Kimi K3 release, following the January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model excelling in multimodal vision, agentic tasks, and coding benchmarks—and the recent April rollout of K2.6-code-preview, which early tests suggest rivals Anthropic's Opus 4.6. Website metadata spotting "Kimi K3" and a $500 million Series C funding round explicitly earmarked for K3 development signal active progress amid intense Chinese AI competition from DeepSeek V4 and GLM-5.1. No official public release date has been announced, with resolution hinging on general availability without vetting; traders eye May-June catalysts like developer previews or GTC follow-ups, though historical polish delays temper April expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$5,291종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi large language model series drives trader consensus toward a near-term Kimi K3 release, following the January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model excelling in multimodal vision, agentic tasks, and coding benchmarks—and the recent April rollout of K2.6-code-preview, which early tests suggest rivals Anthropic's Opus 4.6. Website metadata spotting "Kimi K3" and a $500 million Series C funding round explicitly earmarked for K3 development signal active progress amid intense Chinese AI competition from DeepSeek V4 and GLM-5.1. No official public release date has been announced, with resolution hinging on general availability without vetting; traders eye May-June catalysts like developer previews or GTC follow-ups, though historical polish delays temper April expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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