Anthropic's Claude AI has faced repeated outages throughout early April 2026, with the latest elevated errors on Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code occurring on April 15 from 14:53 to 17:42 UTC, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days. Surging demand for Claude's large language models has strained infrastructure, causing capacity limitations and service disruptions on at least April 6, 7, 13, and 15, as confirmed by Anthropic's status page and widespread user reports. This pattern reflects broader AI sector challenges in scaling compute amid competitive pressures from OpenAI and others, positioning lower outcomes like 9-11 days at just 12.5%. With half of April remaining, traders anticipate persistent issues unless Anthropic bolsters GPU resources swiftly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트12회 이상 84%
9~11 13%
6~8 <1%
$64,006 거래량
$64,006 거래량
2026.04.30
6~8
<1%
9~11
13%
12회 이상
84%
12회 이상 84%
9~11 13%
6~8 <1%
$64,006 거래량
$64,006 거래량
2026.04.30
6~8
$9,450 거래량
<1%
9~11
$7,868 거래량
13%
12회 이상
$14,392 거래량
84%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI has faced repeated outages throughout early April 2026, with the latest elevated errors on Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code occurring on April 15 from 14:53 to 17:42 UTC, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days. Surging demand for Claude's large language models has strained infrastructure, causing capacity limitations and service disruptions on at least April 6, 7, 13, and 15, as confirmed by Anthropic's status page and widespread user reports. This pattern reflects broader AI sector challenges in scaling compute amid competitive pressures from OpenAI and others, positioning lower outcomes like 9-11 days at just 12.5%. With half of April remaining, traders anticipate persistent issues unless Anthropic bolsters GPU resources swiftly.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
거래량
$64,006종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI has faced repeated outages throughout early April 2026, with the latest elevated errors on Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code occurring on April 15 from 14:53 to 17:42 UTC, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days. Surging demand for Claude's large language models has strained infrastructure, causing capacity limitations and service disruptions on at least April 6, 7, 13, and 15, as confirmed by Anthropic's status page and widespread user reports. This pattern reflects broader AI sector challenges in scaling compute amid competitive pressures from OpenAI and others, positioning lower outcomes like 9-11 days at just 12.5%. With half of April remaining, traders anticipate persistent issues unless Anthropic bolsters GPU resources swiftly.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
거래량
$64,006종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude AI has faced repeated outages throughout early April 2026, with the latest elevated errors on Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code occurring on April 15 from 14:53 to 17:42 UTC, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for 12+ downtime days. Surging demand for Claude's large language models has strained infrastructure, causing capacity limitations and service disruptions on at least April 6, 7, 13, and 15, as confirmed by Anthropic's status page and widespread user reports. This pattern reflects broader AI sector challenges in scaling compute amid competitive pressures from OpenAI and others, positioning lower outcomes like 9-11 days at just 12.5%. With half of April remaining, traders anticipate persistent issues unless Anthropic bolsters GPU resources swiftly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문