Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on a live stream by May 1, driven by his recent hospitalization following a suspected overdose collapse during a livestream on April 14, which halted his high-stakes subathon schedule and prompted vows to avoid substances. This health scare—marking multiple pass-outs in recent weeks—has sidelined streaming activity, contrasting earlier March breakdowns amid 24/7 marathons where emotional outbursts occurred. With just under two weeks remaining, the wisdom of crowds prices in low likelihood of resumed streams featuring clear on-camera tears, given recovery focus and no motive to risk image amid strong earnings from stable content.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 5월 1일까지 스트림에서 쇄골 울음소리
2026년 5월 1일까지 스트림에서 쇄골 울음소리
예
$30,768 거래량
$30,768 거래량
2026.05.01
예
$30,768 거래량
$30,768 거래량
2026.05.01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on a live stream by May 1, driven by his recent hospitalization following a suspected overdose collapse during a livestream on April 14, which halted his high-stakes subathon schedule and prompted vows to avoid substances. This health scare—marking multiple pass-outs in recent weeks—has sidelined streaming activity, contrasting earlier March breakdowns amid 24/7 marathons where emotional outbursts occurred. With just under two weeks remaining, the wisdom of crowds prices in low likelihood of resumed streams featuring clear on-camera tears, given recovery focus and no motive to risk image amid strong earnings from stable content.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
거래량
$30,768종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on a live stream by May 1, driven by his recent hospitalization following a suspected overdose collapse during a livestream on April 14, which halted his high-stakes subathon schedule and prompted vows to avoid substances. This health scare—marking multiple pass-outs in recent weeks—has sidelined streaming activity, contrasting earlier March breakdowns amid 24/7 marathons where emotional outbursts occurred. With just under two weeks remaining, the wisdom of crowds prices in low likelihood of resumed streams featuring clear on-camera tears, given recovery focus and no motive to risk image amid strong earnings from stable content.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
거래량
$30,768종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability for Clavicular visibly shedding tears on a live stream by May 1, driven by his recent hospitalization following a suspected overdose collapse during a livestream on April 14, which halted his high-stakes subathon schedule and prompted vows to avoid substances. This health scare—marking multiple pass-outs in recent weeks—has sidelined streaming activity, contrasting earlier March breakdowns amid 24/7 marathons where emotional outbursts occurred. With just under two weeks remaining, the wisdom of crowds prices in low likelihood of resumed streams featuring clear on-camera tears, given recovery focus and no motive to risk image amid strong earnings from stable content.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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