President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$355,294 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 30일
1%
6월 30일
6%
$355,294 거래량
4월 30일
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6월 30일
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6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
거래량
$355,294종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$355,294종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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