Multiple mid-tier CAF sides share comparable FIFA rankings, recent qualifying records, and limited World Cup pedigree, keeping implied probabilities for the worst-placed African nation tightly clustered between 45 and 50 percent. Congo DR, Ghana, Cape Verde, Egypt, and South Africa each topped their groups yet sit in a narrow band of expected group-stage outcomes once the expanded 48-team draw places them against stronger opposition. Stronger sides such as Morocco, Senegal, and Algeria sit lower in the market precisely because traders view them as more likely to advance, widening the gap only modestly. With no major pre-tournament injuries or form shifts reported among the contenders, the field remains fluid until the opening matches establish early results and tiebreakers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트South Africa 51%
Egypt 49%
Congo DR 48%
Ghana 48%
Algeria
37%
Cape Verde
48%
Congo DR
48%
Egypt
49%
Ghana
48%
Ivory Coast
31%
Morocco
35%
Senegal
42%
South Africa
51%
Tunisia
48%
South Africa 51%
Egypt 49%
Congo DR 48%
Ghana 48%
Algeria
37%
Cape Verde
48%
Congo DR
48%
Egypt
49%
Ghana
48%
Ivory Coast
31%
Morocco
35%
Senegal
42%
South Africa
51%
Tunisia
48%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple mid-tier CAF sides share comparable FIFA rankings, recent qualifying records, and limited World Cup pedigree, keeping implied probabilities for the worst-placed African nation tightly clustered between 45 and 50 percent. Congo DR, Ghana, Cape Verde, Egypt, and South Africa each topped their groups yet sit in a narrow band of expected group-stage outcomes once the expanded 48-team draw places them against stronger opposition. Stronger sides such as Morocco, Senegal, and Algeria sit lower in the market precisely because traders view them as more likely to advance, widening the gap only modestly. With no major pre-tournament injuries or form shifts reported among the contenders, the field remains fluid until the opening matches establish early results and tiebreakers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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