xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,331 거래량
2026.02.28
25%+
59%
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53%
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62%
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23%
$19,331 거래량
25%+
$3,678 거래량
59%
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$12,605 거래량
53%
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$2,898 거래량
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$149 거래량
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$19,331종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$19,331종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently trail OpenAI's GPT-5 series on the FrontierMath benchmark, where GPT-5.4 leads at 47.6% accuracy on expert-level math problems including unsolved research challenges, while Grok-4 scored around 14-20% on tiers 1-3 per Epoch AI evaluations. Recent Grok 4.20 release in early 2026 has topped instruction-following (IFBench 82%) and Arena leaderboards with multi-agent reasoning and a 2M-token context window, fueling optimism for math gains amid xAI's rapid iteration and 1GW Colossus training cluster. Competitive pressure intensifies as OpenAI pushes records like 31% on Tier 4; traders eye a potential Grok 5 rollout—rumored at 7 trillion parameters—before the June 30 deadline as the key catalyst for closing the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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