Zysk/Strata
Ostatni dzień

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
89.47%
94.65%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
98.88%
99.7%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
24.23%
25.5%
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
81.97%
78.5%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30.11%
36.85%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
85.73%
84.5%
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
88.1%
96.65%

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
83.93%
95.8%

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
93.77%
97.6%
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
45.22%
34.49%

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
71.17%
87.5%
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?
60.06%
62.5%
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?
93%
99.6%
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?
40.88%
42.8%
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
43.43%
60.5%

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
63%
93%

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
18%
33.5%

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
70.6%
96.05%

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
56%
10.5%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
