Recent U.S. labor market data point to a modest cooling trend, anchoring trader consensus for the August unemployment rate around 4.1% to 4.3%. July nonfarm payrolls showed continued but slower job gains alongside a slight uptick in the jobless rate, while initial claims and other leading indicators reinforce expectations of stability rather than sharp movement. With probabilities closely split, weekly claims releases, any downward revisions to prior months, and broader signals on hiring and wage growth remain key swing factors that could reallocate odds ahead of the early-September BLS report. Federal Reserve communications on employment conditions further shape sentiment in this contested range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Unemployment Rate
August Unemployment Rate
4.1% 32%
4.2% 27%
4.3% 25%
4.0% 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
1%
3.9%
2%
4.0%
13%
4.1%
32%
4.2%
27%
4.3%
25%
4.4%
6%
4.5%
3%
≥4.6%
4%
4.1% 32%
4.2% 27%
4.3% 25%
4.0% 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
$110 Wol.
1%
3.9%
$112 Wol.
2%
4.0%
$554 Wol.
13%
4.1%
$2,349 Wol.
32%
4.2%
$1,030 Wol.
27%
4.3%
$554 Wol.
25%
4.4%
$133 Wol.
6%
4.5%
$132 Wol.
3%
≥4.6%
$112 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data point to a modest cooling trend, anchoring trader consensus for the August unemployment rate around 4.1% to 4.3%. July nonfarm payrolls showed continued but slower job gains alongside a slight uptick in the jobless rate, while initial claims and other leading indicators reinforce expectations of stability rather than sharp movement. With probabilities closely split, weekly claims releases, any downward revisions to prior months, and broader signals on hiring and wage growth remain key swing factors that could reallocate odds ahead of the early-September BLS report. Federal Reserve communications on employment conditions further shape sentiment in this contested range.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,086Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data point to a modest cooling trend, anchoring trader consensus for the August unemployment rate around 4.1% to 4.3%. July nonfarm payrolls showed continued but slower job gains alongside a slight uptick in the jobless rate, while initial claims and other leading indicators reinforce expectations of stability rather than sharp movement. With probabilities closely split, weekly claims releases, any downward revisions to prior months, and broader signals on hiring and wage growth remain key swing factors that could reallocate odds ahead of the early-September BLS report. Federal Reserve communications on employment conditions further shape sentiment in this contested range.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$5,086Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. labor market data point to a modest cooling trend, anchoring trader consensus for the August unemployment rate around 4.1% to 4.3%. July nonfarm payrolls showed continued but slower job gains alongside a slight uptick in the jobless rate, while initial claims and other leading indicators reinforce expectations of stability rather than sharp movement. With probabilities closely split, weekly claims releases, any downward revisions to prior months, and broader signals on hiring and wage growth remain key swing factors that could reallocate odds ahead of the early-September BLS report. Federal Reserve communications on employment conditions further shape sentiment in this contested range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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