California’s 45th congressional district held its June 2 top-two primary, pitting incumbent Democrat Derek Tran against five Republican challengers in an Orange County seat with a sizable Asian American electorate. With most ballots counted, Tran exceeded 50 percent of the vote and advanced automatically, while Chuong Vo led Republicans for the second general-election slot ahead of Chi Charlie Nguyen and others. Remaining vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive but are unlikely to alter the outcome given current margins. Trader pricing on prediction markets reflects this near-certain advancement for Tran and the competitive positioning among Republican contenders. No further primaries or procedural hurdles remain before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-45 Primary Winners
CA-45 Primary Winners
$11,648 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
Derek Tran
99%
Tom Vo
14%
Amy Phan West
5%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
10%
Mark Leonard
2%
Chuong Vo
60%
$11,648 Wol.
Derek Tran
$4,097 Wol.
99%
Tom Vo
$2,238 Wol.
14%
Amy Phan West
$841 Wol.
5%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
$2,383 Wol.
10%
Mark Leonard
$1,123 Wol.
2%
Chuong Vo
$967 Wol.
60%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 45th congressional district held its June 2 top-two primary, pitting incumbent Democrat Derek Tran against five Republican challengers in an Orange County seat with a sizable Asian American electorate. With most ballots counted, Tran exceeded 50 percent of the vote and advanced automatically, while Chuong Vo led Republicans for the second general-election slot ahead of Chi Charlie Nguyen and others. Remaining vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive but are unlikely to alter the outcome given current margins. Trader pricing on prediction markets reflects this near-certain advancement for Tran and the competitive positioning among Republican contenders. No further primaries or procedural hurdles remain before the November general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,648Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 45th congressional district held its June 2 top-two primary, pitting incumbent Democrat Derek Tran against five Republican challengers in an Orange County seat with a sizable Asian American electorate. With most ballots counted, Tran exceeded 50 percent of the vote and advanced automatically, while Chuong Vo led Republicans for the second general-election slot ahead of Chi Charlie Nguyen and others. Remaining vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive but are unlikely to alter the outcome given current margins. Trader pricing on prediction markets reflects this near-certain advancement for Tran and the competitive positioning among Republican contenders. No further primaries or procedural hurdles remain before the November general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$11,648Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California’s 45th congressional district held its June 2 top-two primary, pitting incumbent Democrat Derek Tran against five Republican challengers in an Orange County seat with a sizable Asian American electorate. With most ballots counted, Tran exceeded 50 percent of the vote and advanced automatically, while Chuong Vo led Republicans for the second general-election slot ahead of Chi Charlie Nguyen and others. Remaining vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive but are unlikely to alter the outcome given current margins. Trader pricing on prediction markets reflects this near-certain advancement for Tran and the competitive positioning among Republican contenders. No further primaries or procedural hurdles remain before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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