California’s 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired, following redistricting that shifted the San Diego-area district toward a modest Democratic lean with a 4-point voter registration edge. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert to the November general election, consolidating the Democratic vote after a crowded primary split among several contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting the district’s updated partisan voting index and von Wilpert’s institutional support including DCCC Red to Blue backing. Traders price the Democratic Party as the clear favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the district’s structural tilt and recent primary consolidation, though the general election remains months away.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$12,652 Wol.
$12,652 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$12,652 Wol.
$12,652 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,389 Wol.
86%
Republican Party
$6,262 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired, following redistricting that shifted the San Diego-area district toward a modest Democratic lean with a 4-point voter registration edge. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert to the November general election, consolidating the Democratic vote after a crowded primary split among several contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting the district’s updated partisan voting index and von Wilpert’s institutional support including DCCC Red to Blue backing. Traders price the Democratic Party as the clear favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the district’s structural tilt and recent primary consolidation, though the general election remains months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,652Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired, following redistricting that shifted the San Diego-area district toward a modest Democratic lean with a 4-point voter registration edge. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert to the November general election, consolidating the Democratic vote after a crowded primary split among several contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting the district’s updated partisan voting index and von Wilpert’s institutional support including DCCC Red to Blue backing. Traders price the Democratic Party as the clear favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the district’s structural tilt and recent primary consolidation, though the general election remains months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$12,652Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 48th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired, following redistricting that shifted the San Diego-area district toward a modest Democratic lean with a 4-point voter registration edge. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Republican San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Democrat San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert to the November general election, consolidating the Democratic vote after a crowded primary split among several contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting the district’s updated partisan voting index and von Wilpert’s institutional support including DCCC Red to Blue backing. Traders price the Democratic Party as the clear favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the district’s structural tilt and recent primary consolidation, though the general election remains months away.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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