Montana’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Republican’s 32-point victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, citing limited Democratic fundraising, low name recognition among primary contenders, and the absence of competitive polling. Traders’ 91.5% consensus on a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and the June 2 primary dynamics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a national political wave altering turnout, or an unusually strong independent or Democratic performance that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
$11,400 Wol.
$11,400 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$11,400 Wol.
$11,400 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,247 Wol.
92%
Democratic Party
$3,153 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Republican’s 32-point victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, citing limited Democratic fundraising, low name recognition among primary contenders, and the absence of competitive polling. Traders’ 91.5% consensus on a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and the June 2 primary dynamics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a national political wave altering turnout, or an unusually strong independent or Democratic performance that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,400Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Republican’s 32-point victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, citing limited Democratic fundraising, low name recognition among primary contenders, and the absence of competitive polling. Traders’ 91.5% consensus on a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and the June 2 primary dynamics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a national political wave altering turnout, or an unusually strong independent or Democratic performance that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$11,400Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Republican’s 32-point victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, citing limited Democratic fundraising, low name recognition among primary contenders, and the absence of competitive polling. Traders’ 91.5% consensus on a Republican win aligns with these structural factors and the June 2 primary dynamics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a national political wave altering turnout, or an unusually strong independent or Democratic performance that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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