Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean of R+16 to R+17 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with the district delivering strong margins for Republican candidates in recent presidential and Senate contests. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns across Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's primary strength, and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational momentum. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOH-06 House Election Winner
OH-06 House Election Winner
$68,185 Wol.
$68,185 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$68,185 Wol.
$68,185 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$25,720 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$42,466 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean of R+16 to R+17 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with the district delivering strong margins for Republican candidates in recent presidential and Senate contests. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns across Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's primary strength, and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational momentum. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$68,185Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean of R+16 to R+17 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with the district delivering strong margins for Republican candidates in recent presidential and Senate contests. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns across Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's primary strength, and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational momentum. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$68,185Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean of R+16 to R+17 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with the district delivering strong margins for Republican candidates in recent presidential and Senate contests. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns across Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's primary strength, and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational momentum. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events within the current resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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