The NY-21 seat, an open contest following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, favors the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino at 78% in trader consensus, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across the North Country and Adirondack region. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and elevated GOP primary turnout. The 22% Democratic share aligns with limited evidence of a shift in voter composition or major campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$49,383 Wol.
$49,383 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
22%
$49,383 Wol.
$49,383 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,216 Wol.
78%
Democratic Party
$25,167 Wol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 seat, an open contest following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, favors the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino at 78% in trader consensus, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across the North Country and Adirondack region. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and elevated GOP primary turnout. The 22% Democratic share aligns with limited evidence of a shift in voter composition or major campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,383Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 seat, an open contest following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, favors the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino at 78% in trader consensus, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across the North Country and Adirondack region. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and elevated GOP primary turnout. The 22% Democratic share aligns with limited evidence of a shift in voter composition or major campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$49,383Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-21 seat, an open contest following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, favors the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino at 78% in trader consensus, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across the North Country and Adirondack region. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with historical margins and elevated GOP primary turnout. The 22% Democratic share aligns with limited evidence of a shift in voter composition or major campaign developments that would alter the baseline partisan lean ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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