Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Sen. Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the Republican and Conservative Party nominee in a seat where the GOP has not mounted a serious challenge. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the current pricing, with Lander holding overwhelming consensus support. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$53,925 Wol.
$53,925 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
99%
Jennifer Moore (R)
<1%
$53,925 Wol.
$53,925 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
$16,749 Wol.
99%
Jennifer Moore (R)
$37,175 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Sen. Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the Republican and Conservative Party nominee in a seat where the GOP has not mounted a serious challenge. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the current pricing, with Lander holding overwhelming consensus support. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,925Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Sen. Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the Republican and Conservative Party nominee in a seat where the GOP has not mounted a serious challenge. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the current pricing, with Lander holding overwhelming consensus support. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$53,925Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Sen. Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the Republican and Conservative Party nominee in a seat where the GOP has not mounted a serious challenge. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the current pricing, with Lander holding overwhelming consensus support. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or national political realignment altering the district’s partisan baseline before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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