Vice President JD Vance commands trader consensus at 18.8% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, edging California Governor Gavin Newsom at 16.7%, as his role as heir apparent to President Trump sustains momentum despite historic low approval ratings. Recent UMass Lowell polling from late March showed Vance leading Newsom 33%-30% head-to-head, while Democratic shadow primaries kicked off at events like the April Sharpton convention, highlighting fragmentation among contenders like AOC and Buttigieg. The race stays tightly contested with $517 million in volume due to Vance's vulnerabilities and no clear Electoral College path; 2026 midterms in swing states and Trump's potential endorsement could widen gaps ahead of primaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca wyborów prezydenckich 2028
Zwycięzca wyborów prezydenckich 2028
JD Vance 18.8%
Gavin Newsom 16.7%
Marco Rubio 11.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.6%
$538,384,086 Wol.
$538,384,086 Wol.
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Kamala Harris
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Donald Trump
2%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
Wes Moore
1%
LeBron James
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
JD Vance 18.8%
Gavin Newsom 16.7%
Marco Rubio 11.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.6%
$538,384,086 Wol.
$538,384,086 Wol.
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Kamala Harris
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Donald Trump
2%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
Wes Moore
1%
LeBron James
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance commands trader consensus at 18.8% implied probability for the 2028 presidential winner, edging California Governor Gavin Newsom at 16.7%, as his role as heir apparent to President Trump sustains momentum despite historic low approval ratings. Recent UMass Lowell polling from late March showed Vance leading Newsom 33%-30% head-to-head, while Democratic shadow primaries kicked off at events like the April Sharpton convention, highlighting fragmentation among contenders like AOC and Buttigieg. The race stays tightly contested with $517 million in volume due to Vance's vulnerabilities and no clear Electoral College path; 2026 midterms in swing states and Trump's potential endorsement could widen gaps ahead of primaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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