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Polityka·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Polityka·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

John Tory 2.4%

Polymarket
NOWE

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

John Tory 2.4%

Polymarket
NOWE
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Olivia Chow

$4,116 Wol.

78%

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Brad Bradford

$715 Wol.

11%

Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Ana Bailão

$1,977 Wol.

6%

Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

John Tory

$311 Wol.

2%

Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Kevin Clarke

$383 Wol.

2%

Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Michael Ford

$1,031 Wol.

2%

Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Anthony Furey

$410 Wol.

1%

Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Marco Mendicino

$331 Wol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds 78% trader consensus for the October 26 municipal election, driven by consistent polling leads—44% to Bradford's 26% in March Liaison surveys, up to 46%-35% in the latest April data—and approval ratings around 56%, reflecting steady performance on housing and transit amid economic pressures. Former Mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback, followed by MPP Michael Ford's April 2 withdrawal, has cleared the primary conservative challengers, elevating Councillor Brad Bradford as the centre-right alternative at 11% with his focus on affordability and basics. Ana Bailão trails at 6% despite her CEO role at Build Canada Homes, while others remain fringe. Nominations open soon, with Chow yet to confirm her bid, though incumbency historically boosts re-election odds in first-past-the-post races.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Wolumen
$9,275
Data zakończenia
Oct 26, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds 78% trader consensus for the October 26 municipal election, driven by consistent polling leads—44% to Bradford's 26% in March Liaison surveys, up to 46%-35% in the latest April data—and approval ratings around 56%, reflecting steady performance on housing and transit amid economic pressures. Former Mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback, followed by MPP Michael Ford's April 2 withdrawal, has cleared the primary conservative challengers, elevating Councillor Brad Bradford as the centre-right alternative at 11% with his focus on affordability and basics. Ana Bailão trails at 6% despite her CEO role at Build Canada Homes, while others remain fringe. Nominations open soon, with Chow yet to confirm her bid, though incumbency historically boosts re-election odds in first-past-the-post races.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Wolumen
$9,275
Data zakończenia
Oct 26, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Olivia Chow" z 78%, za nim "Brad Bradford" z 11%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 78¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 78% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Apr 1, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" jest "Olivia Chow" z 78%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 78% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Brad Bradford" z 11%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.