Trump's continued tenure through 2026 reflects Republican congressional majorities that have repeatedly tabled impeachment resolutions, including H. Res. 939 in late 2025, combined with the absence of successful 25th Amendment proceedings or cabinet action despite earlier Iran-related tensions and calls from opponents. The president has maintained an active schedule of executive orders on issues such as naval rebuilding, vaccine policy, and customs enforcement into August 2026, signaling operational continuity rather than withdrawal. Midterm dynamics and historical removal thresholds further anchor trader consensus, as no verified resignation signals or incapacity determinations have emerged to shift the low implied probability of an exit before January 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
6% szansa
$10,748,049 Wol.
$10,748,049 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Tak
6% szansa
$10,748,049 Wol.
$10,748,049 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued tenure through 2026 reflects Republican congressional majorities that have repeatedly tabled impeachment resolutions, including H. Res. 939 in late 2025, combined with the absence of successful 25th Amendment proceedings or cabinet action despite earlier Iran-related tensions and calls from opponents. The president has maintained an active schedule of executive orders on issues such as naval rebuilding, vaccine policy, and customs enforcement into August 2026, signaling operational continuity rather than withdrawal. Midterm dynamics and historical removal thresholds further anchor trader consensus, as no verified resignation signals or incapacity determinations have emerged to shift the low implied probability of an exit before January 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,748,049Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued tenure through 2026 reflects Republican congressional majorities that have repeatedly tabled impeachment resolutions, including H. Res. 939 in late 2025, combined with the absence of successful 25th Amendment proceedings or cabinet action despite earlier Iran-related tensions and calls from opponents. The president has maintained an active schedule of executive orders on issues such as naval rebuilding, vaccine policy, and customs enforcement into August 2026, signaling operational continuity rather than withdrawal. Midterm dynamics and historical removal thresholds further anchor trader consensus, as no verified resignation signals or incapacity determinations have emerged to shift the low implied probability of an exit before January 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$10,748,049Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's continued tenure through 2026 reflects Republican congressional majorities that have repeatedly tabled impeachment resolutions, including H. Res. 939 in late 2025, combined with the absence of successful 25th Amendment proceedings or cabinet action despite earlier Iran-related tensions and calls from opponents. The president has maintained an active schedule of executive orders on issues such as naval rebuilding, vaccine policy, and customs enforcement into August 2026, signaling operational continuity rather than withdrawal. Midterm dynamics and historical removal thresholds further anchor trader consensus, as no verified resignation signals or incapacity determinations have emerged to shift the low implied probability of an exit before January 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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