Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% on President Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting dismissal of partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of post-midterm frustration leading to a voluntary exit amid potential investigations if Democrats gain congressional majorities in November 2026. No official statements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged to challenge this view, despite unsubstantiated viral rumors of health issues in early April—promptly denied by the White House—and ongoing Iran conflict strains since late February airstrikes, including U.S. casualties and threats of further escalation. Trump's pattern of confronting opposition without yielding, alongside stable Republican Senate control, underpins the high implied probability, though midterm outcomes or late-breaking scandals could shift dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$15,444 Wol.
$15,444 Wol.
$15,444 Wol.
$15,444 Wol.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% on President Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting dismissal of partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of post-midterm frustration leading to a voluntary exit amid potential investigations if Democrats gain congressional majorities in November 2026. No official statements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged to challenge this view, despite unsubstantiated viral rumors of health issues in early April—promptly denied by the White House—and ongoing Iran conflict strains since late February airstrikes, including U.S. casualties and threats of further escalation. Trump's pattern of confronting opposition without yielding, alongside stable Republican Senate control, underpins the high implied probability, though midterm outcomes or late-breaking scandals could shift dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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