The vice president and a cabinet majority must initiate any 25th Amendment removal under Section 4, a threshold that remains remote given current executive branch alignment and limited bipartisan support. Recent Democratic calls for invocation during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including legislation for a capacity commission, produced no cabinet action despite public statements on presidential fitness. Historical precedent shows Section 4 has never succeeded in involuntary removal, while upcoming 2026 midterms and standard confirmation patterns reinforce stability through 2027. Late health developments, unprecedented cabinet shifts, or verified incapacity findings could still alter outcomes, though trader consensus reflects these substantial procedural barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3% szansa
$49,529 Wol.
$49,529 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% szansa
$49,529 Wol.
$49,529 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The vice president and a cabinet majority must initiate any 25th Amendment removal under Section 4, a threshold that remains remote given current executive branch alignment and limited bipartisan support. Recent Democratic calls for invocation during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including legislation for a capacity commission, produced no cabinet action despite public statements on presidential fitness. Historical precedent shows Section 4 has never succeeded in involuntary removal, while upcoming 2026 midterms and standard confirmation patterns reinforce stability through 2027. Late health developments, unprecedented cabinet shifts, or verified incapacity findings could still alter outcomes, though trader consensus reflects these substantial procedural barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$49,529Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The vice president and a cabinet majority must initiate any 25th Amendment removal under Section 4, a threshold that remains remote given current executive branch alignment and limited bipartisan support. Recent Democratic calls for invocation during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including legislation for a capacity commission, produced no cabinet action despite public statements on presidential fitness. Historical precedent shows Section 4 has never succeeded in involuntary removal, while upcoming 2026 midterms and standard confirmation patterns reinforce stability through 2027. Late health developments, unprecedented cabinet shifts, or verified incapacity findings could still alter outcomes, though trader consensus reflects these substantial procedural barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Wolumen
$49,529Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The vice president and a cabinet majority must initiate any 25th Amendment removal under Section 4, a threshold that remains remote given current executive branch alignment and limited bipartisan support. Recent Democratic calls for invocation during the April 2026 Iran conflict, including legislation for a capacity commission, produced no cabinet action despite public statements on presidential fitness. Historical precedent shows Section 4 has never succeeded in involuntary removal, while upcoming 2026 midterms and standard confirmation patterns reinforce stability through 2027. Late health developments, unprecedented cabinet shifts, or verified incapacity findings could still alter outcomes, though trader consensus reflects these substantial procedural barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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