Recent statements from Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian following a multi-hour meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei in late July affirm the leader’s operational capacity and health, countering circulating reports of deterioration. Early August appointments of IRGC veterans and military commanders, including Mohsen Rezaei to the Supreme National Security Council, signal consolidation of hardline influence under the current leadership structure. These moves follow Mojtaba Khamenei’s March 2026 selection by the Assembly of Experts after his father’s February assassination and the ensuing interim council period. Trader assessments of further change by target dates hinge on verifiable public appearances, additional personnel shifts, or external diplomatic or military pressures that could alter internal power dynamics within the constitutional succession framework.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$23,740,523 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
August 22
<1%
August 31
1%
September 30
5%
October 31
8%
November 30
10%
31 grudnia
16%
June 30, 2027
25%
$23,740,523 Wol.
August 22
$74,693 Wol.
<1%
August 31
$1,230,550 Wol.
1%
September 30
$471,675 Wol.
5%
October 31
$20,295 Wol.
8%
November 30
$17,935 Wol.
10%
31 grudnia
$4,070,061 Wol.
16%
June 30, 2027
$247,125 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent statements from Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian following a multi-hour meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei in late July affirm the leader’s operational capacity and health, countering circulating reports of deterioration. Early August appointments of IRGC veterans and military commanders, including Mohsen Rezaei to the Supreme National Security Council, signal consolidation of hardline influence under the current leadership structure. These moves follow Mojtaba Khamenei’s March 2026 selection by the Assembly of Experts after his father’s February assassination and the ensuing interim council period. Trader assessments of further change by target dates hinge on verifiable public appearances, additional personnel shifts, or external diplomatic or military pressures that could alter internal power dynamics within the constitutional succession framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,740,523Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent statements from Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian following a multi-hour meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei in late July affirm the leader’s operational capacity and health, countering circulating reports of deterioration. Early August appointments of IRGC veterans and military commanders, including Mohsen Rezaei to the Supreme National Security Council, signal consolidation of hardline influence under the current leadership structure. These moves follow Mojtaba Khamenei’s March 2026 selection by the Assembly of Experts after his father’s February assassination and the ensuing interim council period. Trader assessments of further change by target dates hinge on verifiable public appearances, additional personnel shifts, or external diplomatic or military pressures that could alter internal power dynamics within the constitutional succession framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$23,740,523Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian following a multi-hour meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei in late July affirm the leader’s operational capacity and health, countering circulating reports of deterioration. Early August appointments of IRGC veterans and military commanders, including Mohsen Rezaei to the Supreme National Security Council, signal consolidation of hardline influence under the current leadership structure. These moves follow Mojtaba Khamenei’s March 2026 selection by the Assembly of Experts after his father’s February assassination and the ensuing interim council period. Trader assessments of further change by target dates hinge on verifiable public appearances, additional personnel shifts, or external diplomatic or military pressures that could alter internal power dynamics within the constitutional succession framework.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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