Masoud Pezeshkian remains Iran's president in mid-2026 after navigating the 2026 US-Israel conflict and Supreme Leader transition, with Mojtaba Khamenei named successor in March. Traders assign only a 26% chance he leaves office by December 31 and near-zero probability by June 30, reflecting his survival amid wartime pressures despite repeated unconfirmed resignation reports. In late May, outlets cited a letter to the Supreme Leader citing IRGC dominance over decision-making, but his office dismissed these as false, and he has continued public statements on diplomacy and energy policy. Hardline criticism and his reduced role in key security matters define the current environment, with no scheduled electoral trigger before his term ends in 2028. Recent de-escalation signals and ongoing US talks represent the main variables that could alter removal timelines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMasoud Pezeshkian wyszedł o...?
$798,316 Wol.
June 30
1%
31 grudnia
30%
$798,316 Wol.
June 30
1%
31 grudnia
30%
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Masoud Pezeshkian remains Iran's president in mid-2026 after navigating the 2026 US-Israel conflict and Supreme Leader transition, with Mojtaba Khamenei named successor in March. Traders assign only a 26% chance he leaves office by December 31 and near-zero probability by June 30, reflecting his survival amid wartime pressures despite repeated unconfirmed resignation reports. In late May, outlets cited a letter to the Supreme Leader citing IRGC dominance over decision-making, but his office dismissed these as false, and he has continued public statements on diplomacy and energy policy. Hardline criticism and his reduced role in key security matters define the current environment, with no scheduled electoral trigger before his term ends in 2028. Recent de-escalation signals and ongoing US talks represent the main variables that could alter removal timelines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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