Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5, 2026 general election shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in popular vote, with both parties near 30 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec sits in the low twenties after gains under new leader Christine Fréchette. The PQ’s stronger standing among Francophone voters, who form the largest electoral bloc, underpins trader consensus that it holds the best path to the most seats in the National Assembly. Incumbent fatigue with the prior CAQ government and limited support for smaller parties such as Québec Solidaire have further consolidated the three-way dynamic reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeneralny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
PQ 57%
PLQ 27%
CAQ 17%
QS <1%
$545,752 Wol.
$545,752 Wol.

PQ
57%

PLQ
27%

CAQ
17%

QS
<1%

PCQ
<1%

PVQ
<1%
PQ 57%
PLQ 27%
CAQ 17%
QS <1%
$545,752 Wol.
$545,752 Wol.

PQ
57%

PLQ
27%

CAQ
17%

QS
<1%

PCQ
<1%

PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5, 2026 general election shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in popular vote, with both parties near 30 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec sits in the low twenties after gains under new leader Christine Fréchette. The PQ’s stronger standing among Francophone voters, who form the largest electoral bloc, underpins trader consensus that it holds the best path to the most seats in the National Assembly. Incumbent fatigue with the prior CAQ government and limited support for smaller parties such as Québec Solidaire have further consolidated the three-way dynamic reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania