**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election race with a clear edge in recent polling averages around 29 percent, driven by sustained strength among francophone voters and widespread desire for change after years of CAQ governance.** The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation and her April leadership win, has rebounded modestly to the low-to-mid 20s by emphasizing economic management amid U.S. tariff pressures, yet trails significantly in seat projections. The PLQ sits third near 21-22 percent but remains weak among francophones, while PCQ and QS hold smaller shares concentrated in specific regions. Aggregators such as 338Canada assign the PQ an 80-89 percent probability of securing the most seats, often in minority form, reflecting its structural advantages in key ridings despite a fragmented vote. Recent polls show intentions stabilizing with limited movement in the final campaign weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeneralny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
PQ 74%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.4%
PCQ <1%
$893,795 Wol.
$893,795 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
74%
CAQ
25%
PLQ
2%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 74%
CAQ 25%
PLQ 2.4%
PCQ <1%
$893,795 Wol.
$893,795 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$121,249 Wol.
74%
CAQ
$137,452 Wol.
25%
PLQ
$123,953 Wol.
2%
PCQ
$247,096 Wol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Wol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election race with a clear edge in recent polling averages around 29 percent, driven by sustained strength among francophone voters and widespread desire for change after years of CAQ governance.**
The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation and her April leadership win, has rebounded modestly to the low-to-mid 20s by emphasizing economic management amid U.S. tariff pressures, yet trails significantly in seat projections. The PLQ sits third near 21-22 percent but remains weak among francophones, while PCQ and QS hold smaller shares concentrated in specific regions. Aggregators such as 338Canada assign the PQ an 80-89 percent probability of securing the most seats, often in minority form, reflecting its structural advantages in key ridings despite a fragmented vote. Recent polls show intentions stabilizing with limited movement in the final campaign weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$893,795Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election race with a clear edge in recent polling averages around 29 percent, driven by sustained strength among francophone voters and widespread desire for change after years of CAQ governance.**
The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation and her April leadership win, has rebounded modestly to the low-to-mid 20s by emphasizing economic management amid U.S. tariff pressures, yet trails significantly in seat projections. The PLQ sits third near 21-22 percent but remains weak among francophones, while PCQ and QS hold smaller shares concentrated in specific regions. Aggregators such as 338Canada assign the PQ an 80-89 percent probability of securing the most seats, often in minority form, reflecting its structural advantages in key ridings despite a fragmented vote. Recent polls show intentions stabilizing with limited movement in the final campaign weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$893,795Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election race with a clear edge in recent polling averages around 29 percent, driven by sustained strength among francophone voters and widespread desire for change after years of CAQ governance.** The incumbent CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation and her April leadership win, has rebounded modestly to the low-to-mid 20s by emphasizing economic management amid U.S. tariff pressures, yet trails significantly in seat projections. The PLQ sits third near 21-22 percent but remains weak among francophones, while PCQ and QS hold smaller shares concentrated in specific regions. Aggregators such as 338Canada assign the PQ an 80-89 percent probability of securing the most seats, often in minority form, reflecting its structural advantages in key ridings despite a fragmented vote. Recent polls show intentions stabilizing with limited movement in the final campaign weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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