The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 98.3%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,861 Wol.
$111,861 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
98%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
1%
Kulmiye
<1%
Waddani
<1%
No election before 2027 98.3%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,861 Wol.
$111,861 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$98,207 Wol.
98%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$5,116 Wol.
1%
Kulmiye
$3,783 Wol.
<1%
Waddani
$4,756 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$111,861Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Wolumen
$111,861Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for Somaliland’s parliament and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice on security risks, technical hurdles with voter registration, and drought impacts that made the original May 2026 schedule unworkable. This institutional decision, backed by the three authorized national parties, has produced the market’s clear consensus that no parliamentary vote will occur before 2027. The three eligible parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID/Kaah)—remain positioned under the six-region proportional system, yet the extension reflects ongoing priorities around operational readiness ahead of the next contest. Late reversal of the mandate or sudden resolution of the cited constraints could still allow an earlier poll, though current procedural and logistical realities make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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