Polls for Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 show the CDU, led by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner, maintaining a clear lead at 21% in the latest INSA survey from April 7-14, ahead of SPD and AfD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%. This trader consensus at 57.5% for CDU victory reflects its incumbency advantage from the 2023 repeat election win and steady polling dominance, despite a slight decline from 28%. The current black-red CDU-SPD coalition lacks a projected majority, signaling potential three-party alliances post-vote, while little movement occurred in recent Sonntagsfragen, underscoring a competitive field for second place amid national AfD gains.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie
Zwycięzca wyborów stanowych w Berlinie
CDU 57%
Zieloni 15.2%
Linke 12%
AfD 9.7%
$2,573,764 Wol.
$2,573,764 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
57%
Zieloni
15%
Linke
12%
AfD
10%
SPD
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU 57%
Zieloni 15.2%
Linke 12%
AfD 9.7%
$2,573,764 Wol.
$2,573,764 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$15,416 Wol.
57%
Zieloni
$27,955 Wol.
15%
Linke
$11,660 Wol.
12%
AfD
$2,187,418 Wol.
10%
SPD
$287,435 Wol.
7%
BSW
$26,369 Wol.
1%
FDP
$10,379 Wol.
<1%
FW
$7,131 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polls for Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 show the CDU, led by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner, maintaining a clear lead at 21% in the latest INSA survey from April 7-14, ahead of SPD and AfD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%. This trader consensus at 57.5% for CDU victory reflects its incumbency advantage from the 2023 repeat election win and steady polling dominance, despite a slight decline from 28%. The current black-red CDU-SPD coalition lacks a projected majority, signaling potential three-party alliances post-vote, while little movement occurred in recent Sonntagsfragen, underscoring a competitive field for second place amid national AfD gains.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,573,764Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polls for Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 show the CDU, led by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner, maintaining a clear lead at 21% in the latest INSA survey from April 7-14, ahead of SPD and AfD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%. This trader consensus at 57.5% for CDU victory reflects its incumbency advantage from the 2023 repeat election win and steady polling dominance, despite a slight decline from 28%. The current black-red CDU-SPD coalition lacks a projected majority, signaling potential three-party alliances post-vote, while little movement occurred in recent Sonntagsfragen, underscoring a competitive field for second place amid national AfD gains.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Wolumen
$2,573,764Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls for Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20 show the CDU, led by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner, maintaining a clear lead at 21% in the latest INSA survey from April 7-14, ahead of SPD and AfD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%. This trader consensus at 57.5% for CDU victory reflects its incumbency advantage from the 2023 repeat election win and steady polling dominance, despite a slight decline from 28%. The current black-red CDU-SPD coalition lacks a projected majority, signaling potential three-party alliances post-vote, while little movement occurred in recent Sonntagsfragen, underscoring a competitive field for second place amid national AfD gains.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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