The court ruling in March 2026 that voided incumbent Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s Falealili 1 seat over an electoral bribery finding created the vacancy and opened a fragmented field for the by-election. Multiple candidates, including Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko (the 2025 petitioner), and others backed by FAST, HRPP, or running independently, compete without a dominant frontrunner, as reflected in the closely matched trader-implied probabilities. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the absence of a single endorsed standard-bearer keep the outcome uncertain. Scheduled writ issuance, final candidate lists, and campaign developments could shift support and widen gaps among contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTaveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 17%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
17%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
9%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
7%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 17%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 15%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
29%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
22%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
17%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
9%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The court ruling in March 2026 that voided incumbent Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s Falealili 1 seat over an electoral bribery finding created the vacancy and opened a fragmented field for the by-election. Multiple candidates, including Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko (the 2025 petitioner), and others backed by FAST, HRPP, or running independently, compete without a dominant frontrunner, as reflected in the closely matched trader-implied probabilities. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the absence of a single endorsed standard-bearer keep the outcome uncertain. Scheduled writ issuance, final candidate lists, and campaign developments could shift support and widen gaps among contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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