**Hochelaga-Maisonneuve remains a closely contested riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec provincial election, with incumbent Alexandre Leduc of Québec solidaire facing a strong challenge from Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin.** Recent provincial polling aggregates show a fragmented race overall, with the PQ leading but CAQ and Liberals competitive in key regions, while QS holds pockets of urban support on Montreal Island. Local projections from models such as 338Canada place the riding in toss-up territory between QS and PQ, reflecting Leduc’s established incumbency and prior strong results alongside the broader provincial momentum for the PQ. The nomination period closes September 17, leaving limited time for additional candidates to alter the field. Other contenders from the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives trail significantly in available forecasts. Trader pricing near even odds for the top two reflects uncertainty over turnout, late-campaign shifts in Montreal ridings, and how provincial trends translate locally. Developments such as candidate debates, riding-specific polling, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen the gap before election day.