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icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Gertrude Bourdon 46%

Claude Villeneuve 45%

Sol Zanetti 45%

Nancy Joannette 27%

Polymarket
NOWE

Gertrude Bourdon 46%

Claude Villeneuve 45%

Sol Zanetti 45%

Nancy Joannette 27%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 Wol.

46%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 Wol.

45%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$0 Wol.

45%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$0 Wol.

27%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 Wol.

27%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest among Québec solidaire incumbent Sol Zanetti, PQ challenger Claude Villeneuve, and candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives, with recent projections showing QS and PQ vote shares separated by single digits and win probabilities clustered near 50-63%. The dynamics stem from vote fragmentation among sovereignist-leaning voters in this urban Capitale-Nationale district, combined with the province-wide PQ-CAQ deadlock following the August 27 writ and Villeneuve's late-August nomination as a high-profile former municipal leader. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti and broader polling trends on sovereignty and economic issues sustain the balance. Separation could emerge from targeted campaign events, riding-specific turnout among francophone voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum before the October 5 vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest among Québec solidaire incumbent Sol Zanetti, PQ challenger Claude Villeneuve, and candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives, with recent projections showing QS and PQ vote shares separated by single digits and win probabilities clustered near 50-63%. The dynamics stem from vote fragmentation among sovereignist-leaning voters in this urban Capitale-Nationale district, combined with the province-wide PQ-CAQ deadlock following the August 27 writ and Villeneuve's late-August nomination as a high-profile former municipal leader. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti and broader polling trends on sovereignty and economic issues sustain the balance. Separation could emerge from targeted campaign events, riding-specific turnout among francophone voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum before the October 5 vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Gertrude Bourdon" z 46%, za nim "Claude Villeneuve" z 46%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 46¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 31, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" jest "Gertrude Bourdon" z 46%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Claude Villeneuve" z 46%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.