KMT candidates hold a commanding position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections due to the party’s 14-5-2 edge in current mayoral and magisterial seats from 2022 and consistent polling leads in most of the six special municipalities. Recent TPOC simulations show KMT nominees ahead in Taipei, New Taipei, Taoyuan, and Taichung, while DPP candidates retain advantages only in Tainan and Kaohsiung. KMT-TPP coordination on joint nominations in several contested races has further consolidated the opposition vote, though strains have appeared in places like Hsinchu County. With candidate registration closed and roughly two months remaining, the opposition’s structural advantages in northern and central districts continue to shape trader assessments of which party will secure the most local government heads.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT) 90%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 10.6%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$170,482 Wol.
$170,482 Wol.

Kuomintang (KMT)
90%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
11%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
<1%
Kuomintang (KMT) 90%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 10.6%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$170,482 Wol.
$170,482 Wol.

Kuomintang (KMT)
90%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
11%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...KMT candidates hold a commanding position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections due to the party’s 14-5-2 edge in current mayoral and magisterial seats from 2022 and consistent polling leads in most of the six special municipalities. Recent TPOC simulations show KMT nominees ahead in Taipei, New Taipei, Taoyuan, and Taichung, while DPP candidates retain advantages only in Tainan and Kaohsiung. KMT-TPP coordination on joint nominations in several contested races has further consolidated the opposition vote, though strains have appeared in places like Hsinchu County. With candidate registration closed and roughly two months remaining, the opposition’s structural advantages in northern and central districts continue to shape trader assessments of which party will secure the most local government heads.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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