Labour's projected vote share in the October 8 by-election sits in the 35-45% range according to trader consensus, reflecting a tight contest after Keir Starmer's September 1 resignation. Recent Camden local election results showed Labour on roughly 38-39% and the Greens at 28-29%, with Zack Polanski's candidacy and Andrew Feinstein's endorsement consolidating opposition support on the left. Andy Burnham's leadership has provided some national tailwinds for Labour, while the presence of 15 candidates and typical by-election turnout patterns introduce volatility. These dynamics leave room for shifts depending on final campaign momentum and voter mobilization in the constituency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-45% 34%
35-40% 22%
45-50% 17%
50%+ 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 8, 2026
<30%
11%
30-35%
12%
35-40%
22%
40-45%
34%
45-50%
17%
50%+
17%
40-45% 34%
35-40% 22%
45-50% 17%
50%+ 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 8, 2026
<30%
$77 Wol.
11%
30-35%
$76 Wol.
12%
35-40%
$87 Wol.
22%
40-45%
$232 Wol.
34%
45-50%
$116 Wol.
17%
50%+
$208 Wol.
17%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Labour's projected vote share in the October 8 by-election sits in the 35-45% range according to trader consensus, reflecting a tight contest after Keir Starmer's September 1 resignation. Recent Camden local election results showed Labour on roughly 38-39% and the Greens at 28-29%, with Zack Polanski's candidacy and Andrew Feinstein's endorsement consolidating opposition support on the left. Andy Burnham's leadership has provided some national tailwinds for Labour, while the presence of 15 candidates and typical by-election turnout patterns introduce volatility. These dynamics leave room for shifts depending on final campaign momentum and voter mobilization in the constituency.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$796Data zakończenia
Oct 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Labour's projected vote share in the October 8 by-election sits in the 35-45% range according to trader consensus, reflecting a tight contest after Keir Starmer's September 1 resignation. Recent Camden local election results showed Labour on roughly 38-39% and the Greens at 28-29%, with Zack Polanski's candidacy and Andrew Feinstein's endorsement consolidating opposition support on the left. Andy Burnham's leadership has provided some national tailwinds for Labour, while the presence of 15 candidates and typical by-election turnout patterns introduce volatility. These dynamics leave room for shifts depending on final campaign momentum and voter mobilization in the constituency.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Wolumen
$796Data zakończenia
Oct 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Labour's projected vote share in the October 8 by-election sits in the 35-45% range according to trader consensus, reflecting a tight contest after Keir Starmer's September 1 resignation. Recent Camden local election results showed Labour on roughly 38-39% and the Greens at 28-29%, with Zack Polanski's candidacy and Andrew Feinstein's endorsement consolidating opposition support on the left. Andy Burnham's leadership has provided some national tailwinds for Labour, while the presence of 15 candidates and typical by-election turnout patterns introduce volatility. These dynamics leave room for shifts depending on final campaign momentum and voter mobilization in the constituency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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