Trader consensus heavily favors no prison sentence for Prince Andrew at 91.5%, reflecting the absence of formal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein connections. Released after 11 hours of questioning by Thames Valley Police, the former royal remains under investigation without indictment from the Crown Prosecution Service, which is advising on the probe. Recent public sightings in March near his Norfolk residence at Marsh Farm underscore no custody or trial developments, while historical royal exceptionalism and lack of new evidence have tempered escalation risks. Late-breaking charges or a conviction could shift odds, though procedural hurdles and his denials maintain the status quo.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$206,335 Wol.
$206,335 Wol.
$206,335 Wol.
$206,335 Wol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no prison sentence for Prince Andrew at 91.5%, reflecting the absence of formal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein connections. Released after 11 hours of questioning by Thames Valley Police, the former royal remains under investigation without indictment from the Crown Prosecution Service, which is advising on the probe. Recent public sightings in March near his Norfolk residence at Marsh Farm underscore no custody or trial developments, while historical royal exceptionalism and lack of new evidence have tempered escalation risks. Late-breaking charges or a conviction could shift odds, though procedural hurdles and his denials maintain the status quo.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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