No criminal conviction or active prosecution has advanced to sentencing for Prince Andrew as of mid-2026. He was arrested in February on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to prior Epstein-related allegations, then released under investigation, with the matter remaining open but without charges filed. The 2022 civil settlement resolved related claims outside court, and no subsequent indictments or trials have emerged. Traders assign 97.5% probability to no prison term because UK legal processes require formal charging, evidence review, and court outcomes that have not materialized, with structural barriers such as royal status and evidentiary thresholds limiting escalation. Late developments including new witness statements, reopened inquiries, or unexpected charges could still shift odds within any defined resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$220,662 Wol.
$220,662 Wol.
$220,662 Wol.
$220,662 Wol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No criminal conviction or active prosecution has advanced to sentencing for Prince Andrew as of mid-2026. He was arrested in February on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to prior Epstein-related allegations, then released under investigation, with the matter remaining open but without charges filed. The 2022 civil settlement resolved related claims outside court, and no subsequent indictments or trials have emerged. Traders assign 97.5% probability to no prison term because UK legal processes require formal charging, evidence review, and court outcomes that have not materialized, with structural barriers such as royal status and evidentiary thresholds limiting escalation. Late developments including new witness statements, reopened inquiries, or unexpected charges could still shift odds within any defined resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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