Trump’s authority to issue federal pardons remains intact, yet trader consensus heavily favors no clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to sustained bipartisan resistance and lack of momentum. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, including a Supreme Court denial, leaving a pardon as her primary remaining option. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche committed against recommending one, while the Senate unanimously adopted a July 2026 resolution opposing any relief tied to her Epstein-related convictions. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and received no formal request, amid warnings of significant political costs before the midterms. These institutional and procedural barriers have kept implied probabilities for approval near single digits.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
6% szansa
$748,035 Wol.
$748,035 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Zarabiaj 3.25%
Tak
6% szansa
$748,035 Wol.
$748,035 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Zarabiaj 3.25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s authority to issue federal pardons remains intact, yet trader consensus heavily favors no clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to sustained bipartisan resistance and lack of momentum. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, including a Supreme Court denial, leaving a pardon as her primary remaining option. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche committed against recommending one, while the Senate unanimously adopted a July 2026 resolution opposing any relief tied to her Epstein-related convictions. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and received no formal request, amid warnings of significant political costs before the midterms. These institutional and procedural barriers have kept implied probabilities for approval near single digits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$748,035Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s authority to issue federal pardons remains intact, yet trader consensus heavily favors no clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to sustained bipartisan resistance and lack of momentum. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, including a Supreme Court denial, leaving a pardon as her primary remaining option. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche committed against recommending one, while the Senate unanimously adopted a July 2026 resolution opposing any relief tied to her Epstein-related convictions. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and received no formal request, amid warnings of significant political costs before the midterms. These institutional and procedural barriers have kept implied probabilities for approval near single digits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$748,035Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...Trump’s authority to issue federal pardons remains intact, yet trader consensus heavily favors no clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to sustained bipartisan resistance and lack of momentum. Maxwell has exhausted appeals, including a Supreme Court denial, leaving a pardon as her primary remaining option. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche committed against recommending one, while the Senate unanimously adopted a July 2026 resolution opposing any relief tied to her Epstein-related convictions. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered the matter and received no formal request, amid warnings of significant political costs before the midterms. These institutional and procedural barriers have kept implied probabilities for approval near single digits.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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