Trump has issued over 1,700 clemency grants in his second term, including mass pardons for January 6 defendants and fake electors plot participants, alongside targeted actions for crypto executives like Changpeng Zhao and Ross Ulbricht, fraud convictions, and recent September 2026 grants to gun owners such as Navy veteran Patrick Tate Adamiak. These reflect a process driven by influential advocates and political alignment rather than traditional Department of Justice guidelines, with many recipients tied to restitution relief or prior Trump support. Trader probabilities for listed figures vary based on public statements, advocacy efforts, and case profiles—such as repeated rejections for Sam Bankman-Fried—while the window through December 2026 leaves room for additional batches before resolution. No major scheduled events like congressional votes directly constrain the unreviewable constitutional power, though new filings or announcements could shift specific odds.