Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$373,422 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Donald Brodie
44%
Daniel Penny
37%
Keonne Rodriguez
22%
Matt Gaetz
18%
Ryan Salame
15%
Steve Bannon
14%
Stefan Brodie
14%
Roger Stone
13%
Martin Shkreli
13%
Eric Adams
11%
Antoine Massey
10%
Andrew Tate
9%
Julian Assange
8%
Roger Ver
8%
Elizabeth Holmes
7%
Joe Exotic
6%
Bob Menendez
6%
Himself
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
Diddy
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Elon Musk
3%
Young Thug
3%
Do Kwon
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
$373,422 Wol.
Donald Brodie
$501 Wol.
44%
Daniel Penny
$340 Wol.
37%
Keonne Rodriguez
$14,644 Wol.
22%
Matt Gaetz
$1,554 Wol.
18%
Ryan Salame
$22,798 Wol.
15%
Steve Bannon
$7,794 Wol.
14%
Stefan Brodie
$887 Wol.
14%
Roger Stone
$564 Wol.
13%
Martin Shkreli
$29,438 Wol.
13%
Eric Adams
$641 Wol.
11%
Antoine Massey
$344 Wol.
10%
Andrew Tate
$0 Wol.
9%
Julian Assange
$1,846 Wol.
8%
Roger Ver
$714 Wol.
8%
Elizabeth Holmes
$2,012 Wol.
7%
Joe Exotic
$1,086 Wol.
6%
Bob Menendez
$195 Wol.
6%
Himself
$9,080 Wol.
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$125,490 Wol.
5%
Diddy
$22,061 Wol.
5%
Derek Chauvin
$19,066 Wol.
5%
Nicolas Maduro
$8,597 Wol.
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$17,268 Wol.
4%
Edward Snowden
$2,074 Wol.
4%
Elon Musk
$51,795 Wol.
3%
Young Thug
$4,281 Wol.
3%
Do Kwon
$22,889 Wol.
1%
Hunter Biden
$5,463 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Wolumen
$373,422Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$373,422Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania