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icon for Trump approval rating on September 18?

Trump approval rating on September 18?

icon for Trump approval rating on September 18?

Trump approval rating on September 18?

Sep 18

Sep 18

38.0–38.4 37%

37.5–37.9 27%

38.5–38.9 26%

39.0+ 9.1%

Polymarket
NOWE

38.0–38.4 37%

37.5–37.9 27%

38.5–38.9 26%

39.0+ 9.1%

Polymarket
NOWE

<37.0

$63 Wol.

5%

37.0–37.4

$94 Wol.

7%

37.5–37.9

$24 Wol.

27%

38.0–38.4

$144 Wol.

37%

38.5–38.9

$136 Wol.

26%

39.0+

$129 Wol.

9%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and the Silver Bulletin near 38%, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on the 37.5–38.9 ranges. Trader consensus reflects sustained economic dissatisfaction tied to elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures stemming from the ongoing Iran conflict, alongside softening support among Republicans in multiple surveys. Limited movement in the most recent releases, including those from Economist/YouGov and NBC, has kept near-term expectations anchored in this band ahead of the September 18 measurement.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$588
Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and the Silver Bulletin near 38%, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on the 37.5–38.9 ranges. Trader consensus reflects sustained economic dissatisfaction tied to elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures stemming from the ongoing Iran conflict, alongside softening support among Republicans in multiple surveys. Limited movement in the most recent releases, including those from Economist/YouGov and NBC, has kept near-term expectations anchored in this band ahead of the September 18 measurement.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$588
Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Trump approval rating on September 18?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "38.0–38.4" z 37%, za nim "37.5–37.9" z 27%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 37¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 37% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Trump approval rating on September 18?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 11, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Trump approval rating on September 18?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Trump approval rating on September 18?" jest "38.0–38.4" z 37%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 37% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "37.5–37.9" z 27%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Trump approval rating on September 18?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.