Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and the Silver Bulletin near 38%, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on the 37.5–38.9 ranges. Trader consensus reflects sustained economic dissatisfaction tied to elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures stemming from the ongoing Iran conflict, alongside softening support among Republicans in multiple surveys. Limited movement in the most recent releases, including those from Economist/YouGov and NBC, has kept near-term expectations anchored in this band ahead of the September 18 measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
39.0+ 9.1%
<37.0
5%
37.0–37.4
7%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0+
9%
38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
39.0+ 9.1%
<37.0
5%
37.0–37.4
7%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0+
9%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with RealClearPolitics at 39.6%, the New York Times at 38%, and the Silver Bulletin near 38%, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on the 37.5–38.9 ranges. Trader consensus reflects sustained economic dissatisfaction tied to elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures stemming from the ongoing Iran conflict, alongside softening support among Republicans in multiple surveys. Limited movement in the most recent releases, including those from Economist/YouGov and NBC, has kept near-term expectations anchored in this band ahead of the September 18 measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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