Trump’s Silver Bulletin net approval rating rose modestly to -19.5 as of September 11, 2026, from a recent low of -20.6 the prior week, prompting traders to assign 71.5% odds to an “Up” resolution in the weekly market. Aggregators continue to place overall approval in the high 30s amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost of living, and tariffs, including new trade measures affecting Canadian goods. The Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures have also weighed on support, though Republican backing has held relatively steady near 75%. The small weekly gain in the Silver Bulletin model reflects incremental polling movement rather than a broader shift, consistent with the market’s pricing of limited short-term volatility around a deeply negative baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUp
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trump’s Silver Bulletin net approval rating rose modestly to -19.5 as of September 11, 2026, from a recent low of -20.6 the prior week, prompting traders to assign 71.5% odds to an “Up” resolution in the weekly market. Aggregators continue to place overall approval in the high 30s amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost of living, and tariffs, including new trade measures affecting Canadian goods. The Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures have also weighed on support, though Republican backing has held relatively steady near 75%. The small weekly gain in the Silver Bulletin model reflects incremental polling movement rather than a broader shift, consistent with the market’s pricing of limited short-term volatility around a deeply negative baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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