Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 84.5%, reflecting stalled US-brokered peace talks amid Russia's focus on military advances and US distractions from Middle East conflicts, including the recent US-Israeli war with Iran. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire announced by Putin on April 9—following Kyiv's proposal—failed to spark direct negotiations or lasting de-escalation, underscoring persistent barriers like territorial disputes and mutual distrust. Zelenskyy's April 9 statements affirming readiness for a neutral-site summit outside Moscow or Kyiv have sustained low odds on venues like Turkey (2.8%), elevated by Ukrainian FM's recent endorsement of Türkiye-hosted leader-level talks potentially mediated by Ankara and Washington; Qatar/UAE (2.6%) trails due to prior trilateral precedents there. Upcoming US envoy visits could shift dynamics, but significant hurdles remain.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBrak spotkania przed 2027 rokiem 85%
Turcja 2.9%
Katar / ZEA 2.6%
USA 2.4%
$2,182,262 Wol.
$2,182,262 Wol.

Brak spotkania przed 2027 rokiem
85%

Turcja
3%

Katar / ZEA
3%

USA
2%

Arabia Saudyjska
2%

Rosja
1%

Węgry
1%

Indie
1%

Szwajcaria
1%

Chiny
1%

Kazachstan
1%

Ukraina
1%

Białoruś
1%

Włochy / Watykan
<1%
Brak spotkania przed 2027 rokiem 85%
Turcja 2.9%
Katar / ZEA 2.6%
USA 2.4%
$2,182,262 Wol.
$2,182,262 Wol.

Brak spotkania przed 2027 rokiem
85%

Turcja
3%

Katar / ZEA
3%

USA
2%

Arabia Saudyjska
2%

Rosja
1%

Węgry
1%

Indie
1%

Szwajcaria
1%

Chiny
1%

Kazachstan
1%

Ukraina
1%

Białoruś
1%

Włochy / Watykan
<1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 84.5%, reflecting stalled US-brokered peace talks amid Russia's focus on military advances and US distractions from Middle East conflicts, including the recent US-Israeli war with Iran. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire announced by Putin on April 9—following Kyiv's proposal—failed to spark direct negotiations or lasting de-escalation, underscoring persistent barriers like territorial disputes and mutual distrust. Zelenskyy's April 9 statements affirming readiness for a neutral-site summit outside Moscow or Kyiv have sustained low odds on venues like Turkey (2.8%), elevated by Ukrainian FM's recent endorsement of Türkiye-hosted leader-level talks potentially mediated by Ankara and Washington; Qatar/UAE (2.6%) trails due to prior trilateral precedents there. Upcoming US envoy visits could shift dynamics, but significant hurdles remain.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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