The high implied probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, 2026 reflects persistent diplomatic strains tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, ongoing sanctions regimes, and limited bilateral engagement channels despite periodic statements from both leaders about potential talks. Traders appear to weigh these barriers heavily against historical patterns of infrequent U.S.-Russia summits during periods of active hostilities. China leads alternative venues at 15.5% due to its neutral-host status in past diplomacy and geographic convenience for high-level encounters, while lower-probability locations such as the United States or Russia face domestic political and logistical constraints. Scheduled events like G20 or bilateral sideline opportunities within the remaining months could still alter positioning if confirmed through official channels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 72%
China 16%
United States 3.3%
Russia 2.9%
$247,867 Wol.
$247,867 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
72%
China
16%
United States
3%
Russia
3%
Gulf country
1%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Belarus
1%
Other EU country
1%
South Korea
1%
Switzerland
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Finland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 72%
China 16%
United States 3.3%
Russia 2.9%
$247,867 Wol.
$247,867 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$52,789 Wol.
72%
China
$26,646 Wol.
16%
United States
$10,696 Wol.
3%
Russia
$33,539 Wol.
3%
Gulf country
$7,281 Wol.
1%
Turkey
$14,326 Wol.
1%
Other
$9,215 Wol.
1%
Belarus
$7,825 Wol.
1%
Other EU country
$7,571 Wol.
1%
South Korea
$9,118 Wol.
1%
Switzerland
$8,576 Wol.
1%
Ukraine
$8,309 Wol.
<1%
Finland
$7,171 Wol.
<1%
Japan
$8,888 Wol.
<1%
Australia
$35,917 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The high implied probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, 2026 reflects persistent diplomatic strains tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, ongoing sanctions regimes, and limited bilateral engagement channels despite periodic statements from both leaders about potential talks. Traders appear to weigh these barriers heavily against historical patterns of infrequent U.S.-Russia summits during periods of active hostilities. China leads alternative venues at 15.5% due to its neutral-host status in past diplomacy and geographic convenience for high-level encounters, while lower-probability locations such as the United States or Russia face domestic political and logistical constraints. Scheduled events like G20 or bilateral sideline opportunities within the remaining months could still alter positioning if confirmed through official channels.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Wolumen
$247,867Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The high implied probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, 2026 reflects persistent diplomatic strains tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, ongoing sanctions regimes, and limited bilateral engagement channels despite periodic statements from both leaders about potential talks. Traders appear to weigh these barriers heavily against historical patterns of infrequent U.S.-Russia summits during periods of active hostilities. China leads alternative venues at 15.5% due to its neutral-host status in past diplomacy and geographic convenience for high-level encounters, while lower-probability locations such as the United States or Russia face domestic political and logistical constraints. Scheduled events like G20 or bilateral sideline opportunities within the remaining months could still alter positioning if confirmed through official channels.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$247,867Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The high implied probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, 2026 reflects persistent diplomatic strains tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, ongoing sanctions regimes, and limited bilateral engagement channels despite periodic statements from both leaders about potential talks. Traders appear to weigh these barriers heavily against historical patterns of infrequent U.S.-Russia summits during periods of active hostilities. China leads alternative venues at 15.5% due to its neutral-host status in past diplomacy and geographic convenience for high-level encounters, while lower-probability locations such as the United States or Russia face domestic political and logistical constraints. Scheduled events like G20 or bilateral sideline opportunities within the remaining months could still alter positioning if confirmed through official channels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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