Ukraine's wartime political environment features centralized authority under President Zelenskyy, with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) actively monitoring and disrupting plots linked to external influence. The most recent verified incident occurred in July 2024, when authorities arrested individuals accused of planning riots in Kyiv that could have aimed to seize parliament buildings. No comparable widely reported coup attempts have surfaced through mid-2026, amid sustained martial law that postponed elections and emphasized national cohesion against Russian military operations. Trader sentiment reflects these structural barriers, including institutional controls and limited public appetite for internal upheaval during active conflict, though shifts in frontline conditions, elite fractures, or diplomatic developments could alter assessments of future risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$169,153 Wol.
December 31
8%
$169,153 Wol.
December 31
8%
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's wartime political environment features centralized authority under President Zelenskyy, with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) actively monitoring and disrupting plots linked to external influence. The most recent verified incident occurred in July 2024, when authorities arrested individuals accused of planning riots in Kyiv that could have aimed to seize parliament buildings. No comparable widely reported coup attempts have surfaced through mid-2026, amid sustained martial law that postponed elections and emphasized national cohesion against Russian military operations. Trader sentiment reflects these structural barriers, including institutional controls and limited public appetite for internal upheaval during active conflict, though shifts in frontline conditions, elite fractures, or diplomatic developments could alter assessments of future risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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