Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable signs of military disloyalty or political fracture amid martial law suspending elections. President Zelensky retains firm control, as evidenced by parliament's April 7 passage and his signing of a mobilization law lowering the draft age to 25, reinforcing war efforts against Russia's stalled offensives. Zelensky's April 10 warning of spring-summer diplomatic and military pressures highlights external threats over internal ones, with Ukrainian forces holding front lines without reported mutinies. Such extreme odds reflect stability, though sudden escalations like front collapses or scandals could prompt shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable signs of military disloyalty or political fracture amid martial law suspending elections. President Zelensky retains firm control, as evidenced by parliament's April 7 passage and his signing of a mobilization law lowering the draft age to 25, reinforcing war efforts against Russia's stalled offensives. Zelensky's April 10 warning of spring-summer diplomatic and military pressures highlights external threats over internal ones, with Ukrainian forces holding front lines without reported mutinies. Such extreme odds reflect stability, though sudden escalations like front collapses or scandals could prompt shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,864Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable signs of military disloyalty or political fracture amid martial law suspending elections. President Zelensky retains firm control, as evidenced by parliament's April 7 passage and his signing of a mobilization law lowering the draft age to 25, reinforcing war efforts against Russia's stalled offensives. Zelensky's April 10 warning of spring-summer diplomatic and military pressures highlights external threats over internal ones, with Ukrainian forces holding front lines without reported mutinies. Such extreme odds reflect stability, though sudden escalations like front collapses or scandals could prompt shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$8,864Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verifiable signs of military disloyalty or political fracture amid martial law suspending elections. President Zelensky retains firm control, as evidenced by parliament's April 7 passage and his signing of a mobilization law lowering the draft age to 25, reinforcing war efforts against Russia's stalled offensives. Zelensky's April 10 warning of spring-summer diplomatic and military pressures highlights external threats over internal ones, with Ukrainian forces holding front lines without reported mutinies. Such extreme odds reflect stability, though sudden escalations like front collapses or scandals could prompt shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania