Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3% szansa
$155,353 Wol.
$155,353 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% szansa
$155,353 Wol.
$155,353 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$155,353Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$155,353Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania