Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 7.5% chance of a coup attempt in China before 2027, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid recent military purges. In late January 2026, investigations into top general Zhang Youxia—Xi's longtime ally and Central Military Commission vice chairman—and Gen. Liu Zhenli for corruption and alleged nuclear leaks sparked unverified social media rumors of a failed plot to oust Xi, but no evidence emerged of tanks, arrests, or clashes beyond standard anti-corruption actions. Subsequent official statements and Xi's February-March 2026 speeches emphasizing national security and social harmony have quelled speculation, underscoring regime stability under one-party rule. Late-breaking PLA dissent or economic shocks could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$119,439 Wol.
$119,439 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$119,439 Wol.
$119,439 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 7.5% chance of a coup attempt in China before 2027, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid recent military purges. In late January 2026, investigations into top general Zhang Youxia—Xi's longtime ally and Central Military Commission vice chairman—and Gen. Liu Zhenli for corruption and alleged nuclear leaks sparked unverified social media rumors of a failed plot to oust Xi, but no evidence emerged of tanks, arrests, or clashes beyond standard anti-corruption actions. Subsequent official statements and Xi's February-March 2026 speeches emphasizing national security and social harmony have quelled speculation, underscoring regime stability under one-party rule. Late-breaking PLA dissent or economic shocks could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$119,439Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 7.5% chance of a coup attempt in China before 2027, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid recent military purges. In late January 2026, investigations into top general Zhang Youxia—Xi's longtime ally and Central Military Commission vice chairman—and Gen. Liu Zhenli for corruption and alleged nuclear leaks sparked unverified social media rumors of a failed plot to oust Xi, but no evidence emerged of tanks, arrests, or clashes beyond standard anti-corruption actions. Subsequent official statements and Xi's February-March 2026 speeches emphasizing national security and social harmony have quelled speculation, underscoring regime stability under one-party rule. Late-breaking PLA dissent or economic shocks could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$119,439Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 7.5% chance of a coup attempt in China before 2027, reflecting Xi Jinping's ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid recent military purges. In late January 2026, investigations into top general Zhang Youxia—Xi's longtime ally and Central Military Commission vice chairman—and Gen. Liu Zhenli for corruption and alleged nuclear leaks sparked unverified social media rumors of a failed plot to oust Xi, but no evidence emerged of tanks, arrests, or clashes beyond standard anti-corruption actions. Subsequent official statements and Xi's February-March 2026 speeches emphasizing national security and social harmony have quelled speculation, underscoring regime stability under one-party rule. Late-breaking PLA dissent or economic shocks could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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